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MATCHPULSE

Millwall vs Derby

Venue: The Den

AI analysis

Best price across 10 sources
Final score4–1

AI scorecard

Predicted score: not in the top three

Engine calls · Result · Score · Over/Under 2.5 · BTTS

  • GPT: 3 of 4 calls correct
  • Claude: 3 of 4 calls correct
  • Gemini: 3 of 4 calls correct

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Prediction card for Millwall vs Derby

The image comes with a link to this match on aimatchpulse.com

Predicted score

  1. 1–111%
  2. 2–17%
  3. 1–07%

Final score 4–1 — not among the three most likely

Top insights

Tap an insight to see each engine's reasoning.

No selection stands out against the market for this match.

Closest to the market

  • Match resultDrawAI27%Market24%+3 pts
  • Both teams to scoreYesAI53%Market52%+1 pts

The engines' average sees a little more chance here, but not enough to count as an insight.

What each engine says

  • GPTMost likely score2–112%
    • Millwall: Correct
    • 2–1: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Correct
    • BTTS: Yes: Correct
    Match result56%Millwall25%Draw19%Derby
    Over 2.5 goals54%
    Both teams to score55%

    Millwall are narrow favourites at The Den: better home scoring and Derby’s defensive absences swing the edge. Both sides have injuries so expect a tight, low-to-medium scoring game with Millwall edging a narrow win.

  • ClaudeMost likely score1–012%
    • Millwall: Correct
    • 1–0: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Correct
    • BTTS: Yes: Correct
    Match result52%Millwall27%Draw21%Derby
    Over 2.5 goals52%
    Both teams to score51%

    Millwall are favored at home against a struggling Derby side that has the league's weakest attack away from home and a long absence list. Millwall also have injuries and have been inconsistent, so expect a fairly tight game with a narrow home edge.

  • GeminiMost likely score1–112%
    • Millwall: Correct
    • 1–1: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Correct
    • BTTS: Yes: Correct
    Match result54%Millwall28%Draw18%Derby
    Over 2.5 goals53%
    Both teams to score54%

    Millwall hold the edge at The Den against a Derby side trapped in the relegation zone with just one win all season. With Derby suffering from significant defensive absences through suspensions and injuries, the hosts should dictate proceedings, though Derby's tendency to grind out draws keeps this competitive.

Analysed · Statistical analysis & data modelling only. No real-money wagering.

Market odds

Best price across 10 sources · Updated

Match result

  • Millwall

    1.7057%

    best at Betano

  • Draw

    4.1424%

    best at Pinnacle

  • Derby

    5.4119%

    best at Pinnacle

All sources (10)
SourceMILDrawDER
1xBet1.643.944.89
Bet3651.623.905.25
Betano1.704.005.40
Betfair1.654.005.00
BetVictor1.623.905.00
Dafabet1.684.005.20
Marathonbet1.623.944.95
Pinnacle1.654.145.41
SBO1.603.454.35
William Hill1.653.804.80

Double chance

  • Millwall or draw

    1.1981%

    best at Betano

  • Millwall or Derby

    1.2576%

    best at William Hill

  • Draw or Derby

    2.2543%

    best at Betano

Draw void

  • Millwall

    1.2675%

    best at Betano

  • Derby

    3.8025%

    best at Betfair

Total goals

  • Over 2.5

    1.8552%

    best at Betano

  • Under 2.5

    2.0648%

    best at Pinnacle

Other lines

  • Over 1.751.31Under 1.753.19
  • Over 21.42Under 23.11
  • Over 2.251.61Under 2.252.41
  • Over 2.752.09Under 2.751.84
  • Over 32.47Under 31.61

Both teams to score

  • Yes

    1.8252%

    best at Betano

  • No

    2.0048%

    best at William Hill

Asian handicap

  • Millwall -0.75

    1.9152%

    best at SBO

  • Derby +0.75

    2.0948%

    best at Pinnacle

Other lines

  • Millwall -1.52.82Derby +1.51.47
  • Millwall -1.252.48Derby +1.251.59
  • Millwall -12.19Derby +11.78
  • Millwall -0.51.67Derby +0.52.38
  • Millwall -0.251.45Derby +0.252.92

Correct score

  • 1–0

    7.5010%

    best at Bet365

  • 1–1

    7.709%

    best at Betano

  • 2–0

    8.259%

    best at Betano

  • 2–1

    8.509%

    best at Bet365

  • 0–0

    13.006%

    best at Marathonbet

  • 3–0

    13.505%

    best at Betano

  • 3–1

    14.005%

    best at Betano

  • 0–1

    15.005%

    best at Bet365

18+ · Statistical analysis only: not betting advice and not an offer. We take no stakes and link to no betting service. If gambling is a problem for you, please seek help.

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