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Championship

Millwall vs Derby

Millwall
4–1FT
Derby

Venue: The Den

Millwall vs Derby prediction, team news and preview

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AI analysis

Best price across 10 sources
Final score4–1

AI scorecard

Predicted score: not in the top three

Engine calls · Result · Score · Over/Under 2.5 · BTTS

  • GPT: 3 of 4 calls correct
  • Claude: 3 of 4 calls correct
  • Gemini: 3 of 4 calls correct

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Prediction card for Millwall vs Derby

The image comes with a link to this match on aimatchpulse.com

Predicted score

  1. 1–111%
  2. 2–17%
  3. 1–07%

Final score 4–1 — not among the three most likely

What each engine says

  • GPTMost likely score2–112%
    • Millwall: Correct
    • 2–1: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Correct
    • BTTS: Yes: Correct
    Match result56%Millwall25%Draw19%Derby
    Over 2.5 goals54%
    Both teams to score55%

    Millwall are narrow favourites at The Den: better home scoring and Derby’s defensive absences swing the edge. Both sides have injuries so expect a tight, low-to-medium scoring game with Millwall edging a narrow win.

  • ClaudeMost likely score1–012%
    • Millwall: Correct
    • 1–0: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Correct
    • BTTS: Yes: Correct
    Match result52%Millwall27%Draw21%Derby
    Over 2.5 goals52%
    Both teams to score51%

    Millwall are favored at home against a struggling Derby side that has the league's weakest attack away from home and a long absence list. Millwall also have injuries and have been inconsistent, so expect a fairly tight game with a narrow home edge.

  • GeminiMost likely score1–112%
    • Millwall: Correct
    • 1–1: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Correct
    • BTTS: Yes: Correct
    Match result54%Millwall28%Draw18%Derby
    Over 2.5 goals53%
    Both teams to score54%

    Millwall hold the edge at The Den against a Derby side trapped in the relegation zone with just one win all season. With Derby suffering from significant defensive absences through suspensions and injuries, the hosts should dictate proceedings, though Derby's tendency to grind out draws keeps this competitive.

Top insights and odds →

Analysed · Statistical analysis & data modelling only. No real-money wagering.

Player of the Match

Momentum

Full momentum and stats →
Momentum: Millwall 78%, Derby 22%.

Key moments

  1. Kyrell Lisbie1–0Assist: Lyndon DykesGoal, 3'
  2. Kyrell Lisbie2–0Assist: Caleb TaylorGoal, 10'
  3. Luke Cundle3–0Assist: Camiel NeghliGoal, 17'
  4. Lyndon DykesYellow cardYellow card, 24'
  5. Derek Mazou SackoYellow cardYellow card, 32'
  6. Substitution, 37'On: Alex MowattSubstitution · Off: D. Ozoh
  7. Yellow card, 45+1'Rhian BrewsterYellow card
  8. Half-time 3–0
  9. Substitution, 57'On: Mohammed FuseiniSubstitution · Off: Henrik Wendel Meister
  10. On: Ryan LeonardSubstitution · Off: Tristan CramaSubstitution, 67'
  11. On: Mihailo·IvanovicSubstitution · Off: Lyndon DykesSubstitution, 68'
  12. Yellow card, 71'Carlton MorrisYellow card
  13. On: Mark SykesSubstitution · Off: Camiel NeghliSubstitution, 74'
  14. On: Alfie DoughtySubstitution · Off: Kyrell LisbieSubstitution, 74'
  15. Substitution, 78'On: Lars-Jørgen SalvesenSubstitution · Off: Carlton Morris
  16. Substitution, 78'On: Filip BilbijaSubstitution · Off: Sammie Szmodics
  17. Substitution, 78'On: Oscar FrauloSubstitution · Off: Rhian Brewster
  18. On: Romain EsseSubstitution · Off: Zak SturgeSubstitution, 78'
  19. Jake Cooper4–0Assist: Mihailo·IvanovicGoal, 84'
  20. Goal, 87'Filip Bilbija4–1
  21. Jenson MetcalfeYellow cardYellow card, 89'

Team form

  1. 2 - 1
  2. 2 - 2
  3. 0 - 1
  4. 0 - 1
  5. 2 - 2
  1. 1 - 1
  2. 0 - 1
  3. 4 - 1
  4. 1 - 1
  5. 1 - 1

Championship

Full table →
Standings
#TeamPWDLGDPts
13Millwall14536-118
23Derby14149-187

Referee

Anthony BackhouseEngland
Yellow cards4.2 / matchAbove average
Fouls19.7 / matchBelow average
Championship

Last 6 matches we covered · Championship average 3.8 cards, 21.9 fouls

VenueThe DenLondon, England
Capacity
20,146
Surface
Grass
Weather at kick-off14°CClear

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