Skip to content
MATCHPULSE
MatchesDaily RadarPreviews

La Liga

Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad

Athletic Club
2–1FT
Real Sociedad

Venue: San Mamés Stadium

AI analysis

Best price across 10 sources
Final score2–1

AI scorecard

Predicted score: correct (2–1)

Engine calls · Result · Score · Over/Under 2.5 · BTTS

  • GPT: 3 of 4 calls correct
  • Claude: 3 of 4 calls correct
  • Gemini: 3 of 4 calls correct

Share result

Prediction card for Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad

The image comes with a link to this match on aimatchpulse.com

Predicted score

  1. 1–111%
  2. 2–1Correct9%
  3. 1–29%

Many results are possible, so even the most likely exact score rarely passes 20%.

Top insights

Tap an insight to see each engine's reasoning.

No selection stands out against the market for this match.

Closest to the market

  • Total goalsOver 2.5AI61%Market53%+8 pts
  • Both teams to scoreYesAI63%Market57%+6 pts
  • Match resultReal SociedadAI31%Market26%+5 pts

The engines' average sees a little more chance here, but not enough to count as an insight.

What each engine says

  • GPTMost likely score1–110%
    • Athletic Club: Correct
    • 1–1: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Correct
    • BTTS: Yes: Correct
    Match result38%Athletic Club30%Draw32%Real Sociedad
    Over 2.5 goals62%
    Both teams to score65%

    Basque derby looks tight: Athletic's home defence is solid but multiple absences and only three days' rest reduce their edge. Real Sociedad's free-scoring away form and extra rest point to a close draw or narrow Sociedad win.

  • ClaudeMost likely score1–111%
    • Athletic Club: Correct
    • 1–1: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Correct
    • BTTS: Yes: Correct
    Match result41%Athletic Club27%Draw32%Real Sociedad
    Over 2.5 goals63%
    Both teams to score63%

    Athletic are strong at home but lack Guruzeta and Ruiz de Galarreta, and Sancet is doubtful. They also play only three days after the Copa tie. Real Sociedad are rested and score freely away, so an open, close game looks likely, with both sides finding the net.

  • GeminiMost likely score1–113%
    • Athletic Club: Correct
    • 1–1: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Correct
    • BTTS: Yes: Correct
    Match result42%Athletic Club28%Draw30%Real Sociedad
    Over 2.5 goals59%
    Both teams to score60%

    This Basque derby features a tight tactical clash at San Mamés. Athletic Club hold strong home defensive metrics but must manage a short three-day rest turnaround without key attackers. Well-rested Real Sociedad arrive in explosive attacking form, creating balance in an intensely contested match likely decided by narrow margins.

Analysed · Statistical analysis & data modelling only. No real-money wagering.

Market odds

Best price across 10 sources · Updated

Match result

  • Athletic Club

    2.0747%

    best at 1xBet

  • Draw

    3.7626%

    best at 1xBet

  • Real Sociedad

    3.7926%

    best at Pinnacle

All sources (10)
SourceATHDrawRES
1xBet2.073.763.76
Bet3652.003.703.60
Betano2.023.603.55
Betfair1.953.503.60
BetVictor2.003.603.60
Dafabet2.023.653.70
Marathonbet2.043.703.70
Pinnacle2.043.693.79
SBO2.013.333.32
William Hill2.003.503.60

Double chance

  • Athletic Club or draw

    1.3274%

    best at 1xBet

  • Athletic Club or Real Sociedad

    1.3274%

    best at 1xBet

  • Draw or Real Sociedad

    1.8452%

    best at 1xBet

Draw void

  • Athletic Club

    1.5364%

    best at SBO

  • Real Sociedad

    2.6236%

    best at William Hill

Total goals

  • Over 2.75

    2.0748%

    best at Pinnacle

  • Under 2.75

    1.9052%

    best at 1xBet

Other lines

  • Over 21.40Under 23.15
  • Over 2.251.61Under 2.252.43
  • Over 2.51.84Under 2.52.12
  • Over 32.43Under 31.64
  • Over 3.252.75Under 3.251.50

Both teams to score

  • Yes

    1.7057%

    best at Bet365

  • No

    2.2543%

    best at Betfair

Asian handicap

  • Athletic Club -0.5

    2.0548%

    best at SBO

  • Real Sociedad +0.5

    1.8852%

    best at Pinnacle

Other lines

  • Athletic Club -1.253.38Real Sociedad +1.251.36
  • Athletic Club -12.97Real Sociedad +11.45
  • Athletic Club -0.752.38Real Sociedad +0.751.69
  • Athletic Club -0.251.78Real Sociedad +0.252.18
  • Athletic Club 01.54Real Sociedad 02.79

Correct score

  • 1–1

    7.1010%

    best at Betano

  • 1–0

    8.009%

    best at William Hill

  • 2–1

    9.008%

    best at Betano

  • 2–0

    11.007%

    best at Betano

  • 0–1

    12.006%

    best at Bet365

  • 1–2

    13.006%

    best at Bet365

  • 0–0

    13.506%

    best at Marathonbet

  • 2–2

    14.005%

    best at Betano

18+ · Statistical analysis only: not betting advice and not an offer. We take no stakes and link to no betting service. If gambling is a problem for you, please seek help.

Unlock the full analysis

See everything the three engines found

  • Each engine's own view: summary, result split, likely score
  • The whole Top 10 with every engine's reasons
  • Every odds market and line, from every source
  • No ads

Pro

Every match in full, an unlimited Watchlist and no ads. Cancel any time.

…/ month

Secure payment by Stripe · Compare plans

How MATCH PULSE works

The day's key matches

Every day we select the most important matches across the leading competitions, with live scores, line-ups and stats.