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MATCHPULSE

La Liga

Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad

Venue: San Mamés Stadium

AI analysis

Best price across 10 sources
Final score2–1

AI scorecard

Predicted score: correct (2–1)

Engine calls · Result · Score · Over/Under 2.5 · BTTS

  • GPT: 3 of 4 calls correct
  • Claude: 3 of 4 calls correct
  • Gemini: 3 of 4 calls correct

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Prediction card for Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad

The image comes with a link to this match on aimatchpulse.com

Predicted score

  1. 1–111%
  2. 2–1Correct9%
  3. 1–29%

Many results are possible, so even the most likely exact score rarely passes 20%.

What each engine says

  • GPTMost likely score1–110%
    • Athletic Club: Correct
    • 1–1: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Correct
    • BTTS: Yes: Correct
    Match result38%Athletic Club30%Draw32%Real Sociedad
    Over 2.5 goals62%
    Both teams to score65%

    Basque derby looks tight: Athletic's home defence is solid but multiple absences and only three days' rest reduce their edge. Real Sociedad's free-scoring away form and extra rest point to a close draw or narrow Sociedad win.

  • ClaudeMost likely score1–111%
    • Athletic Club: Correct
    • 1–1: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Correct
    • BTTS: Yes: Correct
    Match result41%Athletic Club27%Draw32%Real Sociedad
    Over 2.5 goals63%
    Both teams to score63%

    Athletic are strong at home but lack Guruzeta and Ruiz de Galarreta, and Sancet is doubtful. They also play only three days after the Copa tie. Real Sociedad are rested and score freely away, so an open, close game looks likely, with both sides finding the net.

  • GeminiMost likely score1–113%
    • Athletic Club: Correct
    • 1–1: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Correct
    • BTTS: Yes: Correct
    Match result42%Athletic Club28%Draw30%Real Sociedad
    Over 2.5 goals59%
    Both teams to score60%

    This Basque derby features a tight tactical clash at San Mamés. Athletic Club hold strong home defensive metrics but must manage a short three-day rest turnaround without key attackers. Well-rested Real Sociedad arrive in explosive attacking form, creating balance in an intensely contested match likely decided by narrow margins.

Top insights and odds →

Analysed · Statistical analysis & data modelling only. No real-money wagering.

Player of the Match

Momentum: Athletic Club 37%, Real Sociedad 63%.

Key moments

  1. On: Robert Navarro MuñozSubstitution · Off: Maroan SannadiSubstitution, 6'
  2. Iñaki Williams1–0Assist: Nico WilliamsGoal, 14'
  3. Goal, 30'Luka Sučić1–1
  4. Alex Berenguer2–1PenaltyPenalty, 45+2'
  5. Iñaki WilliamsYellow cardYellow card, 45+4'
  6. Half-time 2–1
  7. Yellow card, 55'Mikel OyarzabalYellow card
  8. Substitution, 61'On: Orri Steinn ÓskarssonSubstitution · Off: Ander Barrenetxea
  9. Yellow card, 64'Mamadou SarrYellow card
  10. Yellow card, 65'Pellegrino MatarazzoYellow card
  11. Yellow card, 74'Jon AramburuYellow card
  12. Substitution, 75'On: Takefusa KuboSubstitution · Off: Luka Sučić
  13. Substitution, 75'On: Benat TurrientesSubstitution · Off: Jon Gorrotxategi
  14. On: Beñat Prados DíazSubstitution · Off: Peio CanalesSubstitution, 77'
  15. Hugo Rincón LumbrerasYellow cardYellow card, 84'
  16. Substitution, 88'On: Hector FortSubstitution · Off: Jon Aramburu
  17. Substitution, 89'On: Job OchiengSubstitution · Off: Gonçalo Guedes
  18. On: Johaneko Louis-JeanSubstitution · Off: Robert Navarro MuñozSubstitution, 89'
  19. On: Oihan SancetSubstitution · Off: Nico WilliamsSubstitution, 89'
  20. On: Yeray ÁlvarezSubstitution · Off: Yuri BerchicheSubstitution, 89'

Team form

  1. 1 - 6
  2. 4 - 0
  3. 3 - 1
  4. 0 - 0
  5. 0 - 1
  1. 2 - 1
  2. 0 - 6
  3. 2 - 5
  4. 1 - 1
  5. 3 - 2
Standings
#TeamPWDLGDPts
5Real Sociedad11614019
7Athletic Club10433+415

Referee

Alejandro HernandezSpain
Yellow cards4.9 / matchAbove average
Fouls23.4 / matchAround average
La Liga

Last 10 matches we covered · La Liga average 4.4 cards, 24.4 fouls

VenueSan Mamés BarriaBilbao, Spain
Capacity
53,289
Surface
Grass
Weather at kick-off14°CClear

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