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MATCHPULSE

Arouca vs Nacional

Venue: Estádio Municipal de Arouca

AI analysis

Best price across 10 sources
Final score1–0

AI scorecard

Predicted score: not in the top three

Engine calls · Result · Score · Over/Under 2.5 · BTTS

  • GPT: 1 of 3 calls correct
  • Claude: 1 of 4 calls correct
  • Gemini: 1 of 4 calls correct

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Prediction card for Arouca vs Nacional

The image comes with a link to this match on aimatchpulse.com

Predicted score

  1. 2–012%
  2. 2–110%
  3. 1–16%

Final score 1–0 — not among the three most likely

Top insights

Tap an insight to see each engine's reasoning.

No selection stands out against the market for this match.

Closest to the market

  • Match resultAroucaAI62%Market58%+4 pts
  • Total goalsOver 2.5AI56%Market51%+4 pts

The engines' average sees a little more chance here, but not enough to count as an insight.

What each engine says

  • GPTMost likely score2–012%
    • Arouca: Correct
    • 2–0: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Missed
    Match result66%Arouca20%Draw14%Nacional
    Over 2.5 goals59%
    Both teams to score50%

    Arouca should control this at home: strong home scoring (2.0) and five home clean sheets versus Nacional's fragile away defence (2.0 conceded). Nacional's poor league form makes an Arouca win the likeliest outcome, though a low-scoring upset remains possible.

  • ClaudeMost likely score2–011%
    • Arouca: Correct
    • 2–0: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Missed
    • BTTS: Yes: Missed
    Match result60%Arouca23%Draw17%Nacional
    Over 2.5 goals53%
    Both teams to score52%

    Arouca are strong at home, with 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Nacional have lost seven of their last eight and concede two goals per away game. The lean is a home win, probably by one or two goals, though Nacional can find a goal.

  • GeminiMost likely score2–012%
    • Arouca: Correct
    • 2–0: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Missed
    • BTTS: Yes: Missed
    Match result61%Arouca23%Draw16%Nacional
    Over 2.5 goals55%
    Both teams to score52%

    Arouca enter in fine form with three straight wins and a dominant recent head-to-head record against Nacional. The visitors secured a surprising victory over Braga last week but have conceded two goals per game on their travels. Expect Arouca's balanced structure to control proceedings and secure the points.

Analysed · Statistical analysis & data modelling only. No real-money wagering.

Market odds

Best price across 10 sources · Updated

Match result

  • Arouca

    1.7158%

    best at SBO

  • Draw

    4.1624%

    best at Pinnacle

  • Nacional

    5.5818%

    best at Pinnacle

All sources (10)
SourceARODrawNAC
1xBet1.664.135.37
Bet3651.574.105.50
Betano1.624.105.30
Betfair1.604.005.50
BetVictor1.573.805.00
Dafabet1.644.105.40
Marathonbet1.593.965.15
Pinnacle1.624.165.58
SBO1.713.464.29
William Hill1.623.804.80

Double chance

  • Arouca or draw

    1.1881%

    best at Bet365

  • Arouca or Nacional

    1.2677%

    best at 1xBet

  • Draw or Nacional

    2.3542%

    best at Betano

Draw void

  • Arouca

    1.2875%

    best at Bet365

  • Nacional

    4.0025%

    best at Betfair

Total goals

  • Over 2.5

    1.9051%

    best at SBO

  • Under 2.5

    2.0349%

    best at Pinnacle

Other lines

  • Over 1.751.32Under 1.753.30
  • Over 21.42Under 23.03
  • Over 2.251.64Under 2.252.36
  • Over 2.752.12Under 2.751.80
  • Over 32.48Under 31.60

Both teams to score

  • Yes

    1.8751%

    best at Betfair

  • No

    1.9549%

    best at William Hill

Asian handicap

  • Arouca -0.75

    1.9553%

    best at SBO

  • Nacional +0.75

    2.1247%

    best at Pinnacle

Other lines

  • Arouca -1.52.86Nacional +1.51.50
  • Arouca -1.252.42Nacional +1.251.62
  • Arouca -12.33Nacional +11.83
  • Arouca -0.51.72Nacional +0.52.41
  • Arouca -0.251.43Nacional +0.252.97

Correct score

  • 1–0

    7.0010%

    best at William Hill

  • 1–1

    8.0010%

    best at Betano

  • 2–0

    8.009%

    best at Bet365

  • 2–1

    8.759%

    best at Betano

  • 0–0

    13.256%

    best at Marathonbet

  • 3–0

    13.965%

    best at SBO

  • 3–1

    15.005%

    best at Bet365

  • 0–1

    14.005%

    best at BetVictor

18+ · Statistical analysis only: not betting advice and not an offer. We take no stakes and link to no betting service. If gambling is a problem for you, please seek help.

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