Skip to content
MATCHPULSE
MatchesDaily RadarPreviews

Primeira Liga

Arouca vs Nacional

Arouca
1–0FT
Nacional

Venue: Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca vs Nacional prediction, team news and preview

MATCH PULSE Blog

AI analysis

Best price across 10 sources
Final score1–0

AI scorecard

Predicted score: not in the top three

Engine calls · Result · Score · Over/Under 2.5 · BTTS

  • GPT: 1 of 3 calls correct
  • Claude: 1 of 4 calls correct
  • Gemini: 1 of 4 calls correct

Share result

Prediction card for Arouca vs Nacional

The image comes with a link to this match on aimatchpulse.com

Predicted score

  1. 2–012%
  2. 2–110%
  3. 1–16%

Final score 1–0 — not among the three most likely

What each engine says

  • GPTMost likely score2–012%
    • Arouca: Correct
    • 2–0: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Missed
    Match result66%Arouca20%Draw14%Nacional
    Over 2.5 goals59%
    Both teams to score50%

    Arouca should control this at home: strong home scoring (2.0) and five home clean sheets versus Nacional's fragile away defence (2.0 conceded). Nacional's poor league form makes an Arouca win the likeliest outcome, though a low-scoring upset remains possible.

  • ClaudeMost likely score2–011%
    • Arouca: Correct
    • 2–0: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Missed
    • BTTS: Yes: Missed
    Match result60%Arouca23%Draw17%Nacional
    Over 2.5 goals53%
    Both teams to score52%

    Arouca are strong at home, with 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Nacional have lost seven of their last eight and concede two goals per away game. The lean is a home win, probably by one or two goals, though Nacional can find a goal.

  • GeminiMost likely score2–012%
    • Arouca: Correct
    • 2–0: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Missed
    • BTTS: Yes: Missed
    Match result61%Arouca23%Draw16%Nacional
    Over 2.5 goals55%
    Both teams to score52%

    Arouca enter in fine form with three straight wins and a dominant recent head-to-head record against Nacional. The visitors secured a surprising victory over Braga last week but have conceded two goals per game on their travels. Expect Arouca's balanced structure to control proceedings and secure the points.

Top insights and odds →

Analysed · Statistical analysis & data modelling only. No real-money wagering.

Player of the Match

Momentum

Full momentum and stats →
Momentum: Arouca 83%, Nacional 17%.

Key moments

  1. Half-time 0–0
  2. On: Pablo GozálbezSubstitution · Off: Taichi FukuiSubstitution, 59'
  3. Tiago Esgaio1–0Assist: Näis DjouahraGoal, 64'
  4. Substitution, 70'On: Matchoi DjalóSubstitution · Off: Stavros Gavriel
  5. Substitution, 70'On: Danel DongmoSubstitution · Off: Chiheb Labidi
  6. Substitution, 71'On: Pablo RuanSubstitution · Off: N. Kader
  7. On: Dylan NandínSubstitution · Off: Iván BarberoSubstitution, 71'
  8. Yellow card, 74'Matchoi DjalóYellow card
  9. On: Lee Hyun-ju Substitution · Off: Mateo FloresSubstitution, 75'
  10. On: Brian MansillaSubstitution · Off: Alfonso TrezzaSubstitution, 75'
  11. Orest LebedenkoYellow cardYellow card, 76'
  12. Yellow card, 78'Danel DongmoYellow card
  13. Substitution, 81'On: Daniel de Melo Araujo JuniorSubstitution · Off: Miguel Baeza
  14. Substitution, 81'On: Allen ObandoSubstitution · Off: Song Min-kyu
  15. Pablo GozálbezYellow cardYellow card, 90+4'

Team form

  1. 0 - 1
  2. 3 - 4
  3. 1 - 0
  4. 2 - 2
  5. 1 - 2
  1. 1 - 0
  2. 1 - 0
  3. 3 - 2
  4. 0 - 4
  5. 1 - 3

Primeira Liga

Full table →
Standings
#TeamPWDLGDPts
5Arouca10622+620
15Nacional10217-97

Referee

Luís GodinhoPortugal
Yellow cards4.1 / matchAround average
Fouls24.2 / matchAround average
Primeira Liga

Last 11 matches we covered · Primeira Liga average 4.3 cards, 25.3 fouls

VenueEstádio Municipal de AroucaArouca, Portugal
Capacity
7,000
Surface
Grass
Weather at kick-off23°CClear

Unlock the full analysis

See everything the three engines found

  • Each engine's own view: summary, result split, likely score
  • The whole Top 10 with every engine's reasons
  • Every odds market and line, from every source
  • No ads

Pro

Every match in full, an unlimited Watchlist and no ads. Cancel any time.

…/ month

Secure payment by Stripe · Compare plans

How MATCH PULSE works

The day's key matches

Every day we select the most important matches across the leading competitions, with live scores, line-ups and stats.