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MATCHPULSE

FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen

Venue: MEWA Arena

AI analysis

Best price across 10 sources
Final score2–3

AI scorecard

0 of 1 insights correct

Predicted score: not in the top three

Engine calls · Result · Score · Over/Under 2.5 · BTTS

  • GPT: 2 of 4 calls correct
  • Claude: 2 of 4 calls correct
  • Gemini: 2 of 4 calls correct

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Prediction card for FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen

The image comes with a link to this match on aimatchpulse.com

Predicted score

  1. 2–110%
  2. 1–17%
  3. 3–15%

Final score 2–3 — not among the three most likely

What each engine says

  • GPTMost likely score3–18%
    • FSV Mainz 05: Missed
    • 3–1: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Correct
    • BTTS: Yes: Correct
    Match result79%FSV Mainz 0512%Draw9%Werder Bremen
    Over 2.5 goals83%
    Both teams to score66%

    Mainz enter as clear favourites thanks to a high scoring rate and strong home form; Bremen are weakened by multiple absences though Füllkrug remains a danger. Expect an open, high-scoring game with Mainz likely to win by one or two goals.

  • ClaudeMost likely score2–18%
    • FSV Mainz 05: Missed
    • 2–1: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Correct
    • BTTS: Yes: Correct
    Match result54%FSV Mainz 0524%Draw22%Werder Bremen
    Over 2.5 goals63%
    Both teams to score62%

    Mainz are favourites at home, but the baseline's 3.4 expected goals is inflated by a 9-0 cup win and friendlies. Bundesliga-only form points to a more open game. Bremen are missing six players, though Füllkrug could still score. Mainz have the edge, with goals likely at both ends.

  • GeminiMost likely score2–114%
    • FSV Mainz 05: Missed
    • 2–1: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Correct
    • BTTS: Yes: Correct
    Match result54%FSV Mainz 0525%Draw21%Werder Bremen
    Over 2.5 goals67%
    Both teams to score64%

    Mainz enter with attacking momentum, but their baseline goal expectation is heavily distorted by lower-league cup blowouts. Werder Bremen remain difficult to beat behind top scorer Niclas Füllkrug despite extensive injury issues. Expect an entertaining, competitive encounter with Mainz holding a modest edge at home.

Top insights and odds →

Analysed · Statistical analysis & data modelling only. No real-money wagering.

Player of the Match

Momentum: FSV Mainz 05 50%, Werder Bremen 50%.

Key moments

  1. Penalty, 7'Niclas Füllkrug0–1Penalty
  2. Penalty, 25'Niclas Füllkrug0–2Penalty
  3. Anthony Caci1–2Assist: Sheraldo BeckerGoal, 33'
  4. Yellow card, 38'Ludovit ReisYellow card
  5. Substitution, 45'On: Mick SchmetgensSubstitution · Off: Olivier Deman
  6. Half-time 1–2
  7. Substitution, 59'On: Oskar WójcikSubstitution · Off: Mitchell Weiser
  8. Goal, 61'Ludovit Reis1–3Assist: Marco Grüll
  9. Lee Jae-Sung2–3Assist: Anthony CaciGoal, 63'
  10. Phillipp MweneYellow cardYellow card, 69'
  11. Substitution, 72'On: Eren DinkciSubstitution · Off: Iván San José Cantalejo
  12. On: Ransford KönigsdörfferSubstitution · Off: Lee Jae-SungSubstitution, 75'
  13. On: Silvan WidmerSubstitution · Off: Anthony CaciSubstitution, 75'
  14. Substitution, 81'On: Cédric IttenSubstitution · Off: Niclas Füllkrug
  15. On: Benedict HollerbachSubstitution · Off: Sheraldo BeckerSubstitution, 85'
  16. On: Paul NebelSubstitution · Off: Danny da CostaSubstitution, 85'
  17. Benedict HollerbachYellow cardYellow card, 88'
  18. Yellow card, 89'Marco GrüllYellow card
  19. On: Eric MartelSubstitution · Off: Kaishu SanoSubstitution, 90+1'
  20. Alexander SchwolowYellow cardYellow card, 90+4'

Team form

  1. 0 - 1
  2. 3 - 4
  3. 0 - 3
  4. 3 - 4
  5. 1 - 3
  1. 2 - 2
  2. 2 - 2
  3. 7 - 0
  4. 3 - 2
  5. 1 - 1

Bundesliga

Full table →
Standings
#TeamPWDLGDPts
5Werder Bremen8431+315
9FSV Mainz 058314010

Referee

Florian BadstubnerGermany
Yellow cards2.5 / matchBelow average
Fouls20.0 / matchBelow average
Bundesliga

Last 8 matches we covered · Bundesliga average 3.6 cards, 22.4 fouls

VenueMEWA ARENAMainz, Germany
Capacity
34,034
Surface
Grass
Weather at kick-off12°CPartly cloudy

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