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UEFA Nations League

England vs Croatia

England
2–1FT
Croatia

Venue: Wembley Stadium

England vs Croatia prediction, team news and preview

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AI analysis

Best price across 10 sources
Final score2–1

AI scorecard

Predicted score: correct (2–1)

Engine calls · Result · Score · Over/Under 2.5 · BTTS

  • GPT: 4 of 4 calls correct
  • Claude: 3 of 4 calls correct
  • Gemini: 3 of 4 calls correct

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Prediction card for England vs Croatia

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Predicted score

  1. 2–09%
  2. 3–06%
  3. 2–1Correct6%

Many results are possible, so even the most likely exact score rarely passes 20%.

What each engine says

  • GPTMost likely score2–110%
    • England: Correct
    • 2–1: Correct
    • Over 2.5: Correct
    • BTTS: Yes: Correct
    Match result59%England22%Draw19%Croatia
    Over 2.5 goals70%
    Both teams to score60%

    England look more likely to control the match, with their stronger Nations League record and 7-0 win over Croatia in October supporting a home lean. The goal-rate baseline still points to a chance of goals at both ends, though Croatia’s recent scoring and results make that less certain.

  • ClaudeMost likely score2–010%
    • England: Correct
    • 2–0: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Correct
    • BTTS: Yes: Correct
    Match result69%England17%Draw14%Croatia
    Over 2.5 goals67%
    Both teams to score57%

    England have beaten Croatia 7-0 and 4-2 this year and sit second in the group on goals (14 scored, 3 conceded away). Croatia have lost three straight and conceded 14 in four. Expect England to control the game at Wembley, with Croatia scoring only occasionally.

  • GeminiMost likely score3–011%
    • England: Correct
    • 3–0: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Correct
    • BTTS: Yes: Correct
    Match result70%England19%Draw11%Croatia
    Over 2.5 goals70%
    Both teams to score53%

    England host Croatia at Wembley in formidable form, having overwhelmed them 7-0 in the reverse fixture. Led by the prolific Harry Kane against a Croatian defense that has leaked 14 group goals, the hosts are expected to control proceedings and secure another comfortable Nations League victory.

Top insights and odds →

Analysed · Statistical analysis & data modelling only. No real-money wagering.

Player of the Match

Momentum

Full momentum and stats →
Momentum: England 56%, Croatia 44%.

Key moments

  1. Morgan Rogers1–0Assist: Jude BellinghamGoal, 24'
  2. Half-time 1–0
  3. Goal, 59'Petar Sučić1–1
  4. Jarell QuansahVAR reviewVAR review, 61'
  5. Yellow card, 63'Ivan SmolcicYellow card
  6. Harry Kane2–1PenaltyPenalty, 64'
  7. Substitution, 70'On: Ante BudimirSubstitution · Off: Igor Matanović
  8. Substitution, 70'On: Mario PašalićSubstitution · Off: Petar Sučić
  9. Substitution, 76'On: Marco PašalićSubstitution · Off: Ivan Smolcic
  10. Substitution, 76'On: Luka ModrićSubstitution · Off: Josip Mišić
  11. On: Rio NgumohaSubstitution · Off: Anthony GordonSubstitution, 77'
  12. On: James GarnerSubstitution · Off: Declan RiceSubstitution, 77'
  13. On: Ben WhiteSubstitution · Off: Trent Alexander-ArnoldSubstitution, 78'
  14. Substitution, 90'On: Lovro MajerSubstitution · Off: Mateo Kovačić

Team form

  1. 3 - 0
  2. 0 - 7
  3. 0 - 2
  4. 2 - 3
  5. 4 - 6
  1. 1 - 2
  2. 0 - 7
  3. 4 - 1
  4. 1 - 2
  5. 2 - 1

UEFA Nations League

Full table →
Standings
#TeamPWDLGDPts
2England5401+1212
3Croatia5104-113

Referee

Morten Krogh
Yellow cards2.5 / matchBelow average
Fouls25.0 / matchAround average
UEFA Nations League

Last 4 matches we covered · UEFA Nations League average 3.9 cards, 23.9 fouls

VenueThe City GroundNottingham, Nottinghamshire, England
Capacity
30,576
Surface
Grass

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