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Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar

Ajax
1–0FT
AZ Alkmaar

Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar prediction, team news and preview

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AI analysis

Best price across 10 sources
Final score1–0

AI scorecard

0 of 4 insights correct

Predicted score: not in the top three

Engine calls · Result · Score · Over/Under 2.5 · BTTS

  • GPT: 0 of 4 calls correct
  • Claude: 1 of 4 calls correct
  • Gemini: 1 of 4 calls correct

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Prediction card for Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar

The image comes with a link to this match on aimatchpulse.com

Predicted score

  1. 1–19%
  2. 1–26%
  3. 2–25%

Final score 1–0 — not among the three most likely

What each engine says

  • GPTMost likely score1–211%
    • AZ Alkmaar: Missed
    • 1–2: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Missed
    • BTTS: Yes: Missed
    Match result31%Ajax21%Draw48%AZ Alkmaar
    Over 2.5 goals69%
    Both teams to score69%

    Expect an open, goal-heavy game with AZ slightly favoured — they have the stronger recent head-to-head and away scoring. Ajax still dangerous at home but several attacking absences (Dolberg, Adingra) weaken their edge.

  • ClaudeMost likely score1–19%
    • Ajax: Correct
    • 1–1: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Missed
    • BTTS: Yes: Missed
    Match result39%Ajax26%Draw35%AZ Alkmaar
    Over 2.5 goals70%
    Both teams to score70%

    Ajax are slightly favoured at home despite several absences, since AZ arrive in poor league form after losing to Twente and Feyenoord. AZ's strong head-to-head record and both sides' leaky defences point to an open, goal-heavy game where a draw is a live chance.

  • GeminiMost likely score1–19%
    • Ajax: Correct
    • 1–1: Missed
    • Over 2.5: Missed
    • BTTS: Yes: Missed
    Match result38%Ajax25%Draw37%AZ Alkmaar
    Over 2.5 goals72%
    Both teams to score72%

    Ajax enter in strong form with high-scoring domestic displays, but their defensive vulnerabilities at home remain an issue. AZ Alkmaar hold an impressive head-to-head record in this fixture despite erratic recent league outings. Expect an open, high-intensity contest where both forward lines create ample chances.

Top insights and odds →

Analysed · Statistical analysis & data modelling only. No real-money wagering.

Player of the Match

Momentum

Full momentum and stats →
Momentum: Ajax 32%, AZ Alkmaar 68%.

Key moments

  1. Tolu Arokodare1–0Assist: Abdellah OuazaneGoal, 9'
  2. Yellow card, 26'Weslley Pinto BatistaYellow card
  3. Abdellah OuazaneYellow cardYellow card, 30'
  4. On: Oscar GloukhSubstitution · Off: Julian BrandtSubstitution, 38'
  5. Yellow card, 44'Mees de WitYellow card
  6. Substitution, 45'On: Wesley HoedtSubstitution · Off: Wouter Goes
  7. Half-time 1–0
  8. On: Marcos Leonardo Santos AlmeidaSubstitution · Off: Abdellah OuazaneSubstitution, 60'
  9. On: Yves BissoumaSubstitution · Off: Davy KlaassenSubstitution, 60'
  10. Substitution, 60'On: Calvin StengsSubstitution · Off: Valdemar Byskov Andreasen
  11. On: Steven BerghuisSubstitution · Off: Tolu ArokodareSubstitution, 74'
  12. On: Daley BlindSubstitution · Off: Jorthy MokioSubstitution, 74'
  13. Substitution, 78'On: Mateo ChávezSubstitution · Off: Mees de Wit
  14. Substitution, 78'On: Denso KasiusSubstitution · Off: Elijah Dijkstra
  15. Substitution, 85'On: Bendegúz KovácsSubstitution · Off: Lewis Schouten

Team form

  1. 1 - 2
  2. 2 - 0
  3. 2 - 5
  4. 2 - 1
  5. 1 - 1
  1. 0 - 2
  2. 0 - 4
  3. 2 - 2
  4. 2 - 1
  5. 2 - 0

Eredivisie

Full table →
Standings
#TeamPWDLGDPts
2Ajax11731+1724
5AZ Alkmaar11623+720

Referee

Allard LindhoutNetherlands
Yellow cards3.2 / matchAround average
Fouls22.9 / matchAround average
Eredivisie

Last 11 matches we covered · Eredivisie average 3.0 cards, 21.6 fouls

VenueJohan Cruijff ArenaAmsterdam, Netherlands
Capacity
55,885
Surface
Grass
Weather at kick-off12°COvercast

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