Moldova vs Kazakhstan prediction, team news and preview

Moldova vs Kazakhstan: what the match decides

Moldova and Kazakhstan meet in round 5 of UEFA Nations League League C, Group C, on Friday 13 November 2026 at Zimbru. Moldova are third in the four-team group on 4 points from 4 games, while Kazakhstan are fourth on 2 points. Slovakia lead the group with 10 points, so this match is mainly about avoiding the bottom place.

A win would lift Moldova further clear of the foot of the table, while Kazakhstan need a result to close the gap. Moldova have the goal difference of -5 against Kazakhstan's -2, but the points tally favours the hosts.

Moldova and Kazakhstan recent form

Moldova's last five games read DLDWL: one win, two draws and two defeats, with 4 goals scored and 9 conceded. That is 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded per game, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. At home they have played two, drawn one and lost one, scoring 1 and conceding 5.

Kazakhstan's last five read LDLLD: no wins, two draws and three defeats, with 6 scored and 10 conceded. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded per game, have no clean sheets and have scored in every one of the five. Away from home they have drawn one and lost two of three, scoring 3 and conceding 6.

Both sides have leaked goals consistently. Kazakhstan's games have seen both teams score five times out of five, and four of their five went over 2.5 goals. For Moldova the figures are three and two.

Moldova vs Kazakhstan team news

No absences are reported in our data for either side so far, so there are no confirmed injuries or suspensions to weigh. That can change before the match, and we will not guess at who might be missing.

Line-ups have not been published yet. They are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and the starting elevens will show whether either coach reacts to the recent defensive record.

No absences reported so far.

Moldova vs Kazakhstan storylines

Moldova's group record is one win, one draw and two defeats. The win came against Kazakhstan on 2 October, 2-1 away, and the defeats were 0-2 and 0-4 against Slovakia. The 1-1 draw with the Faroe Islands is the other result. Their 3 goals scored in four group games are the story: they have needed a clean finish from very little attacking volume.

Kazakhstan are still looking for a first win of the campaign, with two draws and two defeats from four. They drew 1-1 away to the Faroe Islands and 2-2 at home to them, and lost 1-2 at Slovakia. They have scored 5 in the group, more than Moldova's 3, but conceded 7.

This match is a chance for Kazakhstan to avenge the October defeat, and for Moldova to complete a double over the same opponent.

Where Moldova vs Kazakhstan will be decided

The main contest is Kazakhstan's goalscoring against Moldova's home defence. Kazakhstan have scored in all five recent games, while Moldova have conceded 2.5 per game at Zimbru. That suggests Kazakhstan will find openings.

The other side is Moldova's attack against a defence that has not kept a clean sheet in five. Moldova have scored just 0.8 per game overall and 0.5 at home, so they may struggle to take advantage unless they score early or through a set piece.

Game state may matter. Moldova's recent home results, 1-1 with the Faroe Islands and 0-4 against Slovakia, suggest that conceding first is costly. Kazakhstan have taken a point from two of their three away games, so they can stay in matches on the road.

Moldova vs Kazakhstan head-to-head

The sides have met four times in our data, with two wins each and no draws. The games have averaged 2.0 goals, both teams scored in two and two went over 2.5 goals.

The latest meeting was on 2 October 2026, when Moldova won 2-1 in Kazakhstan. In March 2022 the sides met twice in the Nations League: Moldova won 2-1 at home... in fact Kazakhstan won 2-1 at Moldova's ground on 24 March and Moldova won 1-0 in Kazakhstan on 29 March. Kazakhstan's other win was a 1-0 friendly on 21 February 2019. Away teams have won three of the four.

Moldova vs Kazakhstan prediction

Our lean is a tight match with a slight edge to Moldova not losing. They have just beaten Kazakhstan and sit above them in the group, and Kazakhstan are winless in five. The caution is Moldova's home record of 0.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game, so this is far from a convincing home advantage.

On goals, we lean towards both sides scoring and around two to three goals in total. Kazakhstan have scored in each of their last five and conceded in each, while neither side has kept a clean sheet. Moldova's low scoring is the main reason to be cautious about a high total.

An early goal for either team, or a change in the starting line-ups, could shift this read. MATCH PULSE's three AI engines (GPT, Claude and Gemini) publish their independent analysis of the match before kick-off.

How to watch Moldova vs Kazakhstan

No official broadcasters are listed in our data for this match. Check the UEFA Nations League's official broadcast partner in your country and its official app for live coverage.

The match is on Friday 13 November 2026 at Zimbru. The kick-off time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

We have not listed this competition's broadcasters yet. Check the competition's official broadcast partner in your country and its official app.

Only official rights holders are listed; availability can change. Watching through unofficial streams is unsafe and unfair to the clubs.

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