Serbia vs Germany prediction, team news and preview

Serbia vs Germany: what the match decides

Serbia host Germany in round 5 of League A Group B on Friday 13 November 2026 at the Rajko Mitić Stadion. Both sides are marked as possible play-off teams, but their positions differ sharply. Germany are third on 5 points from four games, while Serbia are bottom on 0 points after four defeats.

The group leaders, the Netherlands, have 8 points. Germany are three behind them, so a win keeps them in touch, while Serbia need points quickly to avoid being cut adrift. Our lean is towards the visitors, though Serbia's home setting and Germany's modest scoring leave room for a tight game.

Serbia and Germany recent form

Serbia have lost all five of their last five games, scoring 4 and conceding 13, which is 0.8 scored and 2.6 conceded per game. They have no clean sheets, failed to score once, and both teams scored in four of the five. Four of those matches produced more than 2.5 goals. At home they have lost both games, scoring 2 and conceding 4, to Greece and the Netherlands, both by 1-2.

Germany's last five read DDLWD: one win, three draws and one defeat, with 4 goals scored and 3 conceded. That is 0.8 scored and 0.6 conceded per game, with two clean sheets. None of their five games went over 2.5 goals. On the road they have drawn both, scoring 1 and conceding 1, with one clean sheet.

Serbia vs Germany team news

No absences are reported in our data for either side so far, so we cannot name any injuries or suspensions. That may change before the match, so check the latest club and federation news.

Line-ups are not yet published. They are normally confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and we will not guess at selections until then.

No absences reported so far.

Storylines for Serbia and Germany

For Serbia, the story is a run of defeats. They have lost four Nations League games, with 3 goals scored and 8 conceded, a goal difference of -5. A 1-5 friendly defeat in Mexico in June shows the problem predates this group. Each of their league losses against Greece and the Netherlands was by a single goal, so the margins have been narrow even though the results have not.

Germany are unbeaten in only some of that spell, but they are hard to beat. They drew with the Netherlands, lost to Greece, beat Serbia 2-0 and drew 0-0 away to Greece, which gives them a goal difference of +1. A win here would move them to 8 points, level with the leaders on current totals, and show whether they can turn solid defence into victories.

Where Serbia vs Germany will be decided

The main contrast is Serbia's leaky defence against Germany's modest attack. Serbia concede 2.6 goals per game, while Germany score only 0.8. Germany failed to score in two of their last five, so they cannot be assumed to profit fully from Serbia's weakness.

At the other end, Serbia's scoring is no better, at 0.8 per game, yet they scored in four of their last five. Germany's defence has kept two clean sheets in five and allowed 0.6 goals per game. If Serbia struggle to create, the match could turn on one early goal and how Serbia react to going behind.

Serbia vs Germany head-to-head

The sides have met three times in our data: one Serbia win, one Germany win and one draw. Those games averaged 1.67 goals, both teams scored in only one, and none went over 2.5 goals.

The most recent meeting was this season, a 2-0 Germany win on 1 October 2026 in the Nations League. Before that came a 1-1 friendly draw in March 2019 and a 1-0 Serbia win at the 2010 World Cup.

Serbia vs Germany prediction

Our lean is a narrow Germany win. Three facts drive it: Serbia have lost five straight, they concede 2.6 goals per game, and Germany won the reverse fixture 2-0. Germany's record away from home (two draws) is a reason for caution, as is their low scoring rate.

On goals, the lean is moderate: Serbia's matches have been high-scoring, but Germany's have not, and the head-to-head average is 1.67. A one- or two-goal Germany margin is the most likely shape, with a Serbia goal plausible. An early goal for Serbia or an injury to a Germany player not yet reported could change the picture. MATCH PULSE's three AI engines, GPT, Claude and Gemini, publish their independent analysis of the match before kick-off.

How to watch Serbia vs Germany

No official broadcasters are listed in our data for this match. Check the UEFA Nations League's official broadcast partner in your country and its official app for live coverage.

Broadcast rights differ by country, so confirm the details with your local rights holder before the match on Friday 13 November 2026.

We have not listed this competition's broadcasters yet. Check the competition's official broadcast partner in your country and its official app.

Only official rights holders are listed; availability can change. Watching through unofficial streams is unsafe and unfair to the clubs.

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