PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II prediction, team news and preview

PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II: what the match decides

PSV Eindhoven host Willem II in Round 11 of the Eredivisie on Saturday 31 October 2026 at the Philips Stadion. The home side are third with 20 points from 10 games (six wins, two draws, two defeats), four behind leaders Feyenoord on 24. For PSV the match decides whether they can stay in the title chase.

Willem II are 18th of 18 with 2 points from 10 games: no wins, two draws and eight defeats. They have scored 10 and conceded 32, a goal difference of -22. They sit in the relegation zone, and this is among the toughest fixtures the calendar could give them.

The table points to a clear home favourite. The question is how many goals PSV score and whether Willem II can find a way back into a season that is slipping away.

PSV and Willem II recent form

PSV's last five games in all competitions read W-L-L-W-D: two wins, one draw and two defeats, with 5 goals scored (1.0 per game) and 4 conceded (0.8 per game). They kept two clean sheets and failed to score once. The run includes a 2-0 home win over Heerenveen, a 1-2 league defeat at ADO Den Haag, a 1-0 Champions League win at FC Porto and a 1-1 home draw with Feyenoord on 25 October.

At the Philips Stadion the picture is solid. In their last two home games PSV won one and drew one, scoring 3 and conceding 1, with one clean sheet. Their season average of 28 goals in 10 league games (2.8 per game) suggests the recent output of 1.0 per game is below their usual level.

Willem II have lost their last four league games: 0-1 to Fortuna Sittard, 1-3 at Utrecht, 2-3 at Sparta Rotterdam and 1-6 at home to Cambuur on 24 October. Their only win in the last five came in the KNVB Beker, 4-3 at Helmond Sport on 27 October. Across those five games they scored 8 (1.6 per game) and conceded 16 (3.2 per game), with no clean sheets. Away from home they have won one and lost two of their last three, scoring 7 and conceding 9.

PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II team news

PSV have four players ruled out: A. Nagalo (injury), A. Plea (surgery), J. Schouten (knee injury) and P. Wanner (foot injury). S. Lammers is doubtful because he lacks match fitness, and R. Pepi is doubtful with an injury. If both doubtful players miss out, PSV's options up front would be thinner, though our data does not say who would replace them.

Willem II are without J. Hoogma (knee injury) and A. Lachkar (groin injury), both listed as out. With a defence that has conceded 3.2 goals per game in the last five, losing players is a concern, although the facts do not say what roles they would have filled.

Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and none are published in our data yet. Check the official team sheets before drawing firm conclusions from the absence lists.

Storylines for PSV Eindhoven and Willem II

PSV's storyline is about consistency across competitions. They beat Porto away in the Champions League on 20 October but lost 1-2 at ADO Den Haag in the league three days earlier, then drew 1-1 with Feyenoord at home. With the leader four points ahead, dropping points against the bottom side would be costly.

Willem II's season is one of pressure. They are yet to win in the league after ten games, have lost five league matches in a row on the form line, and were beaten 6-1 at home by Cambuur last time out in the league. The 4-3 cup win at Helmond Sport showed they can still score, but it was not a clean performance and it came against lower-level opposition.

This match can change the direction of both seasons. A win keeps PSV in touch at the top, while another defeat would leave Willem II with 2 points from 11 games.

Where PSV vs Willem II will be decided

The central contrast is PSV's attack against Willem II's defence. PSV have scored 2.8 goals per league game this season, while Willem II concede 3.2 per game over their ten league games and have not kept a clean sheet in their last five matches. Even with PSV's modest recent scoring, the matchup favours the hosts.

Willem II are not without goals. They have scored in four of their last five and 7 in three away games, so the game could stay open. Their matches are high-scoring: four of their last five went over 2.5 goals, and four saw both teams score. PSV, by contrast, have conceded only 0.8 per game recently and 1 in two home games, so a clean sheet is a realistic outcome.

Game state may matter too. If PSV score early, Willem II's recent defeats suggest they could struggle to recover, and the margin could grow.

PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II head-to-head

Across the six meetings in our data, PSV have won four, one has been drawn and Willem II have won one. The games average 3.0 goals each, with three going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in three.

The most recent meeting was a 1-1 draw at the Philips Stadion on 8 February 2025, and before that PSV won 2-0 at Willem II on 28 September 2024. PSV also won 4-2 at home on 1 May 2022 and 3-0 at home on 8 November 2020. Willem II's only win came 2-1 at home on 25 September 2021.

That record gives the visitors some hope of scoring, but PSV have the stronger record overall.

PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II prediction

The lean is a PSV Eindhoven win. The three main facts behind it are the table (third against bottom), Willem II's goals-against rate of 3.2 per game in the last five, and PSV's unbeaten home record in their last two games. The model edge is clear, but the margin is the harder question.

What could change the read? PSV's thin squad, with four out and two doubtful, and their low scoring in the last five (5 goals) could keep the game tighter than expected. Our lean is a probability, not a certainty, and it will be tested once the line-ups are confirmed. MATCH PULSE's three AI engines (GPT, Claude and Gemini) publish their independent analysis of the match before kick-off.

How to watch PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II

No official broadcasters are listed in our data for this match. To watch it live legally, check the Eredivisie's official broadcast partner in your country and its official app.

Broadcast rights differ by country, so confirm the coverage with your local official provider ahead of Saturday 31 October 2026.

We have not listed this competition's broadcasters yet. Check the competition's official broadcast partner in your country and its official app.

Only official rights holders are listed; availability can change. Watching through unofficial streams is unsafe and unfair to the clubs.

Frequently asked questions