Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia prediction, team news and preview

Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: what the match decides

Levski Sofia host Jagiellonia at the Vasil Levski National Stadium on Thursday 5 November 2026, in matchday 4 of the Europa League league stage. The match decides whether Levski consolidate a place in the play-off zone or whether Jagiellonia close the gap on them.

Levski are 17th in the 36-team table with 4 points from three games (one win, one draw, one defeat, 3 goals scored and 3 conceded). That position currently carries a play-off place for the round of 16 stage. Jagiellonia are 27th with 3 points, a goal difference of -2 and a record of one win and two defeats. Leaders Benfica have 9 points, so both sides are well off the top.

Levski and Jagiellonia recent form

Levski are unbeaten in their last five (DWWDW): three wins, two draws, 7 goals scored and 3 conceded. That is 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded per game, with two clean sheets and no game without a goal. Only one of the five went over 2.5 goals. All five listed games were played away from home, so our data gives no home split for them.

Jagiellonia's last five read LLWWW: three wins and two defeats, 10 goals scored and 5 conceded, or 2.0 and 1.0 per game. They kept two clean sheets but failed to score twice, and three of the five went over 2.5 goals.

The away numbers stand out. In three away games Jagiellonia won two and lost one, scoring 9 and conceding 2, which is 3.0 scored and 0.67 conceded per game. They won 6-0 at Lechia Gdansk in the cup and 3-1 at Wieczysta Krakow in the league, though they also lost 0-1 at Zaglebie Lubin. Their most recent Europa League outing was a 0-3 home defeat to Anderlecht.

Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia team news

Levski have five players listed as out. R. Kirilov has a knee injury and A. Mitkov is out injured. P. Hristov, O. Kamdem and M. Sangare are listed as off the roster. No doubtful players are reported for the home side.

Jagiellonia have four players out. D. Drachal, C. Polak and Z. Zalewski are listed as off the roster, and N. Wojtuszek is listed as inactive. Their data shows no injury doubts.

Several of these absences look like squad-registration decisions rather than fitness problems, so their effect on each side's recent form is hard to judge. No line-ups are published yet. They are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and this preview will reflect them once they are known.

Storylines: Levski's table position and Jagiellonia's response

Levski arrive with momentum. A 1-1 draw at NEC Nijmegen was followed by a 2-1 win at Plzen in the Europa League, then a 2-0 cup win at Spartak Pleven and a 1-0 league win at Dunav Ruse. A home win would strengthen their hold on a play-off place.

Jagiellonia are in a different position. They have lost two of their three league-stage games and conceded 6 goals, and the 0-3 loss to Anderlecht is their latest European result. Since then they have won three games in a row in domestic competitions, scoring 10 goals in the last three: 1-0, 6-0 and 3-1.

The question is whether that domestic scoring carries into Europe. A win would lift them to 6 points and put them level with or above several sides around them. A defeat would leave them with 3 points from four games.

Where Levski vs Jagiellonia could be decided

The main contest is Levski's defence against Jagiellonia's away attack. Levski concede 0.6 per game and kept two clean sheets in five, while Jagiellonia average 3.0 goals on the road. Something has to give, and the sample sizes on both sides are small.

The reverse matchup favours Levski less clearly. Jagiellonia concede 1.0 per game overall, but only 0.67 away. Levski score 1.4 per game and have scored in every one of their last five, which suggests they will create chances even against a sound defence.

Game state may matter. Jagiellonia failed to score in two of their last five, both defeats, so an early Levski goal could change how open the match becomes.

Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia head-to-head

No previous meetings between Levski Sofia and Jagiellonia are recorded in our data, so there is no head-to-head record, goals average or notable result to draw on.

That makes recent form and the league-stage table the best guides to this match.

Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia prediction

Our lean is a narrow Levski edge, with a draw the main alternative. Three facts drive that: Levski's unbeaten run of five (three wins, two draws), their low goals-against average of 0.6, and the home setting against a side that has lost two of its three European games.

On goals, the lean is towards a match with both teams scoring. Jagiellonia average 3.0 goals away from home, and Levski have scored in all of their last five. Levski's own games have rarely been high-scoring, though, with only one of five going over 2.5, so a 2-1 or 1-1 result looks more likely than a shootout.

The main risk to this view is Jagiellonia's recent scoring. If they repeat their away output, Levski's defensive record could come under pressure. Line-ups could also change the picture. MATCH PULSE's three AI engines (GPT, Claude and Gemini) publish their independent analysis of the match before kick-off.

How to watch Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia

No official broadcasters are listed in our data for this match. Check the UEFA Europa League's official broadcast partner in your country, and its official app, for live coverage.

Only use official, licensed rights-holders to watch the match legally.

We have not listed this competition's broadcasters yet. Check the competition's official broadcast partner in your country and its official app.

Only official rights holders are listed; availability can change. Watching through unofficial streams is unsafe and unfair to the clubs.

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