Levante vs Atletico Madrid prediction, team news and preview

Levante vs Atletico Madrid: what the match decides

Atletico Madrid, second in La Liga with 25 points from 10 games, visit 14th-placed Levante in round 11 on Saturday 31 October 2026. The game is played at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia. On the table and the recent numbers, Atletico are the clear favourites, but Levante's home matches this season have been open and high-scoring, which keeps the contest more interesting than the standings suggest.

For Atletico the match decides whether they stay in touch with the summit. Barcelona lead on 27 points, so three points in Valencia would take Atletico to 28, although the leaders' total can still change. Their current position also carries a Champions League league-phase place, and they have won eight of their ten league games.

For Levante the picture is tighter. They have 10 points from 10 matches, with two wins, four draws and four defeats, and a goal difference of minus three (16 scored, 19 conceded). A win would lift them to 13 points and give a real push up the table.

Our data lists a handful of absences on both sides, and no line-ups have been published yet. Those details are covered in the team news section below.

Levante and Atletico Madrid recent form

Levante's last five games read loss, draw, draw, win, loss: one win, two draws and two defeats. They scored 9 and conceded 10 in that run, which is 1.8 goals for and 2.0 against per game. They have kept no clean sheet in those five, and both teams scored in every one of them. Four of the five produced more than 2.5 goals.

The home split is the more encouraging part for Levante. In two home games in that run they drew 3-3 with Sevilla and beat Athletic Club 3-1, scoring 6 and conceding 4, an average of three goals scored per home game. Away it has been harder: defeats at Villarreal (1-3) and Real Sociedad (1-2), plus a 1-1 draw at Deportivo La Coruna, meaning one goal scored in each of those three trips.

Atletico's last five brought four wins and a draw across La Liga and the Champions League, with 7 goals scored and 2 conceded. That works out at 1.4 scored and 0.4 conceded per game, with three clean sheets. They beat Alaves 2-1, Manchester United 2-0, Espanyol 1-0 and Deportivo La Coruna 1-0, and drew 1-1 at VfB Stuttgart. The league form column in the standings reads five wins in a row.

On the road, Atletico played three of those five games away: two wins and a draw, with 4 goals scored and 2 conceded (1.33 and 0.67 per game) and one clean sheet. They scored in every game of the run, but only one of the five went over 2.5 goals. This is a side that wins narrowly and keeps matches tidy.

Levante vs Atletico Madrid team news

Levante have one confirmed absence in our data: E. Bardeli is out with a muscle injury. Dela is listed as doubtful because of overload, so his involvement is uncertain. Our data does not say how often either player has started, so we cannot judge the exact weight of the loss.

Atletico have more to monitor. Koke is out with a muscle injury. J. Cardoso is doubtful with a thigh injury and C. Romero is doubtful with a muscle injury. If either doubtful player misses out, Atletico would have three names unavailable in total, which could force changes in their selection.

Atletico also played in the Champions League on 13 and 20 October, and their last match was on 24 October against Deportivo La Coruna, a week before this game. Levante played on 25 October. We have no information on rotation or workload plans, so treat any suggestion of a heavily changed line-up as speculation.

Line-ups have not been published yet. They are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and MATCH PULSE will reflect any late changes in the squad picture as soon as they are official.

Levante vs Atletico Madrid storylines

Atletico's story is consistency. They have eight wins, one draw and one defeat from ten league games, a goal difference of plus 12, and a run of four wins and a draw across all competitions. Their win over Manchester United in the Champions League and the clean sheet against Deportivo La Coruna show a side that is comfortable winning in different ways. The question is whether they can keep pace with Barcelona, two points ahead.

Levante's story is volatility. They have drawn four and lost four of their ten, and their last five contained a 3-3 draw with Sevilla, a 3-1 win over Athletic Club and a 1-2 defeat at Real Sociedad on 25 October. They sit 14th, but with 16 goals scored from 10 games, an average of 1.6, they are not short of attacking output. The problem is at the other end, where they concede 1.9 goals per game.

This match also fits a pattern in the fixture list. Levante are coming off an away defeat, and the pull of their home form is strong, with 6 goals in two recent home games. A result against a top-two side would be a statement. Atletico, for their part, would be reinforcing their title credentials by winning away from home in a game they are expected to control.

Where Levante vs Atletico Madrid will be decided

The central contrast is Levante's defence against Atletico's attack. Levante have conceded in every one of their last five games and have let in two or more in three of them: three against Villarreal, three against Sevilla and two at Real Sociedad. Atletico have scored 20 league goals in 10 games, an average of 2.0, and they have scored in each of their last five matches in all competitions. That points to Atletico finding the net at least once.

The other half of the question is whether Levante can score against a defence that has conceded just 8 league goals in 10 games, or 0.8 per game. Atletico have conceded only 2 in their last five, with three clean sheets. Levante, though, have scored in each of their last five matches, and their home average of three goals per game shows they can create chances. They need to turn that into goals against the best defensive record they have faced lately.

Tempo may decide who controls the match. Levante's recent games have tended to be open, with four of five going over 2.5 goals. Atletico's recent games have been tighter, with only one going over that mark. If Levante can stretch the game and keep it end to end, the match looks different from Atletico's usual low-event wins. If Atletico slow it down, the pattern favours the visitors.

The absences add a further angle. With Koke out and two doubts in the Atletico squad, the balance of their midfield and defence could be altered, while Levante will want their attacking players in rhythm after a busy run.

Levante vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head

Our data lists six meetings since February 2021. Going through the individual results, Levante won two, Atletico won two and two were drawn, with 13 goals in total, an average of 2.17 per game. Both sides scored in two of the six, and two went over 2.5 goals.

The most recent meeting was a 0-0 draw at Levante on 31 January 2026, in La Liga. Before that, Atletico won 3-1 at home on 8 November 2025. Atletico's other win in the list came in the Copa del Rey, 2-0 at Levante on 18 January 2023.

Levante's two wins came away in the form of home results for them in earlier years: they won 1-0 on 16 February 2022 and 2-0 on 20 February 2021, both at Atletico's ground. At home, the history in this list is more cautious for Atletico: their three visits to Levante have produced a 2-2 draw in La Liga in October 2021, the 2-0 Copa del Rey win and the 0-0 draw in January.

In short, the fixture has often been closer than the table positions imply, and goalless or low-scoring games are part of it. That is a reminder that Levante have frustrated Atletico before, though the sample is small and the sides have changed since.

Levante vs Atletico Madrid prediction

Our lean is an Atletico Madrid win, with a close game the most likely shape. Atletico have the stronger league record, the better goal difference (plus 12 against minus three) and a run of 0.4 goals conceded per game over the last five. Levante can create and score, but they have not kept a clean sheet in that run and have conceded 2.0 goals per game.

On goals, the model edge points towards both teams scoring and a game with two to four goals. Levante have scored in all of their last five and Atletico have scored in all of theirs, while Levante's matches have regularly gone over 2.5. Atletico's tighter recent games, with only one of five over that line, make a very high-scoring game less likely. A scoreline such as 2-1 to Atletico fits the numbers well.

Three facts drive this lean: Atletico's defensive record, Levante's leaky run of 10 goals conceded in five games, and the fact that Levante have lost two of their last five. The main risks are Atletico's injury doubts, with Koke out and Cardoso and Romero uncertain, and Levante's home scoring, which gives them a route into the game. Past meetings also show Levante can hold Atletico, including a 0-0 draw in January.

This remains a lean rather than a certainty, and late team news could shift it. MATCH PULSE's three AI engines (GPT, Claude and Gemini) publish their independent analysis of the match before kick-off.

How to watch Levante vs Atletico Madrid

The match is on Saturday 31 October 2026. The official broadcasters in our data include, in Spain, Movistar Plus+ and DAZN; in the United Kingdom, Disney+ and Premier Sports; and in Ireland, Disney+ and Premier Sports. In the United States the listed broadcaster is ESPN, and in Canada it is TSN and RDS.

Elsewhere in Europe, DAZN is listed in Germany, Austria, Switzerland, France, Italy and Portugal, with Disney+ also listed in France. In the Netherlands it is Ziggo Sport. In Latin America, ESPN and DSports are listed in Argentina, Chile, Colombia and Peru, and in Brazil it is CazéTV and SportyNet. In Mexico it is Sky Sports and Canal 5.

In other regions, beIN Sports is listed in the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Australia. SuperSport, StarTimes, DAZN and SportyTV are listed in Nigeria and South Africa. In India it is FanCode, and in Japan it is DAZN and U-Next.

If your country is not listed here, check La Liga's official broadcast partner in your territory and its official app. Always use an official, licensed broadcaster to follow the match live.

Only official rights holders are listed; availability can change. Watching through unofficial streams is unsafe and unfair to the clubs.

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