Hull City vs Brentford prediction, team news and preview

Hull City vs Brentford: what the match decides

Hull City welcome Brentford to the MKM Stadium on Sunday 25 October 2026 in Premier League Matchweek 8. Hull sit ninth with 9 points from 7 games (two wins, three draws, two defeats), while Brentford are sixth with 10 points from the same number of games (two wins, four draws, one defeat). One point and three places separate them, so the result will reshape the upper-middle part of the table.

The table gives Brentford a clear edge in goals: they have scored 13 and conceded 8 for a goal difference of +5, whereas Hull have scored 8 and conceded 7 for +1. Manchester City lead the division with 21 points, which leaves Brentford 11 behind and Hull 12. Neither side is chasing the leaders yet, so this is about momentum and position. A Hull win would lift them to 12 points and past Brentford's current total, while a Brentford win would open a four-point gap.

If you want the short answer, our analysis gives Brentford a narrow lean, with goals likely at both ends. Brentford have scored in each of their last five games and gone over 2.5 goals in all of them. Hull arrive without a win in their last five in all competitions and with a long list of absentees. The sections below set out the reasoning.

Hull City and Brentford recent form

Hull's last five matches in all competitions read L-D-L-D-L: no wins, two draws and three defeats. They scored 5 and conceded 8, which works out at 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded per game, and they kept no clean sheets. They failed to score twice, in the 0-1 League Cup defeat at Sunderland and the 0-1 Premier League loss at Fulham. Both teams scored in three of the five games, and three also went over 2.5 goals.

The home sample is very small. Only one of Hull's last five was at the MKM Stadium, a 2-2 draw with Everton on 11 October. The other four were away: the 2-2 draw at Chelsea, the 1-2 defeat at Newcastle, plus the Sunderland and Fulham losses. That means Hull's recent run says little about their home form, although the Everton game did show an open, high-scoring pattern.

Brentford's last five were D-W-W-D-L, with two wins, two draws and one defeat. They scored 10 and conceded 7, an average of 2.0 scored and 1.4 conceded per game, with one clean sheet and no failures to score. Both teams scored in four of the five games, and all five went over 2.5 goals. Their best result was a 3-0 home win over Chelsea on 18 September, and they also won 2-1 at Reading in the League Cup.

On the road, Brentford have played three of those five away from home, winning one and drawing two with no defeats. They scored 6 and conceded 5, so 2.0 scored and 1.67 conceded per away game. Both teams scored in all three, and all three went over 2.5 goals. Their away games have been lively.

Hull City vs Brentford team news

Hull's list is long. Seven players are ruled out: I. Ansah (back injury), J. Butland (arm injury), D. Gyabi (groin injury), C. Hughes (groin injury), E. Matazo (knee injury), N. Mendy (groin injury) and M. Targett (ankle injury). Three more are doubtful: M. Cho (muscle injury), L. Gourna-Douath (calf injury) and R. Vaz (Achilles tendon injury).

That is ten names across the squad, and four of the seven confirmed absentees are down to groin problems or a related lower-body injury. Our data does not give positions, so we cannot say where the gaps are, but Hull's options for rotation or in-game changes look thin if the doubtful trio miss out. Any of Cho, Gourna-Douath or Vaz being passed fit would be a useful boost.

Brentford have five players out. J. Dasilva has a muscle injury, K. Furo is out after surgery and A. Milambo has a knock. V. Janelt and Y. Yarmolyuk are both unavailable because of red cards, so those two absences are suspensions rather than fitness issues. No Brentford player is listed as doubtful.

No line-ups have been published in our data so far. Teams are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and any late fitness news on the doubtful Hull players will only become clear then.

Hull City and Brentford: the key storylines

For Hull, the story is a winless run that has not yet cost them much in the table. They are ninth, but the league table shows their league form as L-D-L-D-D, so there is no win in it. They have drawn at Chelsea and at home to Everton, both 2-2, which shows they can score and compete against established sides, but they have also been shut out twice in their last five. A first win since the early part of the season would restore confidence and lift them above Brentford.

Brentford's storyline is consistency without many wins. Four of their seven league games have been draws, including 2-2 away at Bournemouth and 2-2 away at Aston Villa. The table lists their league form as L-D-W-D-D, with the 3-0 win over Chelsea the clear high point. They have lost only one of their seven league games, but they are still waiting to turn those draws into a real push.

Their most recent outing was a 1-2 home defeat to Liverpool on 17 October, the only loss in their last five. Hull's most recent was the 0-1 loss at Fulham on the same date. Each side therefore comes in having dropped points a week earlier, and each has a reason to want a response.

The wider picture matters too. With Manchester City on 21 points, this match is unlikely to alter the title race. It could, however, decide which of these two sets the early pace for the top half.

Where Hull City vs Brentford will be decided

The central question is whether Hull's defence can contain Brentford's attack. Hull have conceded 8 goals in their last five and have no clean sheet in that run, while Brentford have scored in every one of their last five and average 2.0 goals per game. On the road they have scored 6 in three. If Hull defend as they have recently, Brentford should find chances.

The other side of the contest is closer. Brentford concede 1.4 goals per game over their last five and 1.67 per away game, and they have kept only one clean sheet in that sample. Hull score just 1.0 per game over the same span, but they scored twice against both Chelsea and Everton. Hull's route to a result is probably to turn their home advantage into more of those multi-goal games rather than the blanks seen at Sunderland and Fulham.

Tempo and game state also matter. Brentford's last five all produced more than 2.5 goals, and Hull's last home game ended 2-2. Both sides have shown they can be pulled into an open game, so an early goal could stretch the match. Our data holds no set-piece figures, so we leave that area aside and focus on the broader scoring trends.

Squad depth is the final factor. Hull's ten absentees, seven of them confirmed out, put pressure on whoever is available to cope with a heavy workload. Brentford's five absences include two suspensions, so they have a known gap rather than an uncertain one.

Hull City vs Brentford head-to-head

The two clubs have met six times in our data, all in the Championship between December 2017 and February 2020. Going by the scores, Hull have won two, Brentford have won two and two have been drawn. There has been no Premier League meeting, so the record is dated and carries limited weight.

The meetings have been high-scoring: 23 goals in six games, or 3.83 per game. Both teams scored in five of the six, and three went over 2.5 goals. The one meeting without a goal for both sides was Hull's 2-0 home win in December 2018.

Hull's wins were the 3-2 at home in December 2017 and that 2-0 in December 2018. Brentford's two wins were emphatic: 5-1 at home in February 2019 and 5-1 at Hull on 1 February 2020, the most recent meeting. The draws were both 1-1 at Brentford, in May 2018 and August 2019.

Hull have therefore won two of their three home meetings in this sample, losing the other 1-5. Given that the most recent meeting was more than six years ago, treat the head-to-head as a loose guide to scoring patterns rather than a predictor of the winner.

Hull City vs Brentford prediction

Our lean is a narrow Brentford edge, with a draw the main alternative. Brentford sit higher, have the better goal difference (+5 against +1) and have scored in every one of their last five games. Hull have not won in their last five, have conceded 8 in that run and have ten players out or doubtful. Brentford's high number of draws (four from seven) is the reason this is only a narrow lean.

On goals, we lean towards a game with more than 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. All five of Brentford's recent games went over 2.5 goals and four had both sides scoring, while Hull's last home game finished 2-2 and three of their last five featured both teams scoring. The six head-to-head meetings averaged 3.83 goals, and five had both teams scoring. The main reason for caution is Hull's two blanks in their last five.

Three facts drive this read: Brentford's scoring consistency, Hull's defensive record and the Hull injury list. What could change it is late team news. If the doubtful Hull trio of M. Cho, L. Gourna-Douath and R. Vaz are all fit, Hull's chances of a result improve. An early goal for either side would also push a cagey game open.

This is a lean rather than a certainty, as each side has drawn in at least three of its seven league games. MATCH PULSE's three AI engines, GPT, Claude and Gemini, publish their independent analysis of the match before kick-off.

How to watch Hull City vs Brentford

Hull City vs Brentford is a Premier League match on Sunday 25 October 2026 at the MKM Stadium. The kick-off time on this page is shown in your own time zone. Always use an official broadcaster in your country.

No United Kingdom broadcaster is listed in our data, so UK readers should check the Premier League's official broadcast partners and their official apps. In Ireland, the listed broadcasters are Premier Sports, Sky Sports and TNT Sports. In the United States, the listed broadcasters are NBC, Telemundo and USA Network, and in Canada it is fuboTV.

Elsewhere in our data, Sky Sport is listed in Germany, Austria, Italy and New Zealand, and in Switzerland alongside Canal+. In Spain, the listed broadcasters are DAZN and Movistar Plus+, in France it is Canal+, and in the Netherlands they are Viaplay and Prime Video. In Australia, it is Stan Sport, in India Star Sports, and in Brazil ESPN and CazéTV. SuperSport is listed in South Africa and Nigeria, and beIN Sports in a number of Middle East and North Africa markets, including Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Egypt.

If your country is not mentioned here, check the Premier League's official broadcast partner and its official app. Coverage and availability can change, so confirm the details with the broadcaster closer to the date.

Only official rights holders are listed; availability can change. Watching through unofficial streams is unsafe and unfair to the clubs.

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