Greece vs Serbia prediction, team news and preview

Greece vs Serbia: what the match decides

Greece vs Serbia is a round 6 fixture in League A Group B of the UEFA Nations League, played at the Panthessaliko Stadium on Monday 16 November 2026. Greece are second with 8 points from five games (two wins, two draws, one defeat) and currently hold a Play Offs: Quarter-finals position. Netherlands lead the group on 11 points.

Serbia are fourth with no points from five games and a goal difference of -7, which puts them in the possible relegation zone. The match decides whether Greece can protect their play-off place and whether Serbia can finally take something from the group. On the evidence of the table, Greece are the clear favourites, but their last result complicates the picture.

Greece and Serbia recent form

Greece have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last five, scoring 5 and conceding 10, which is 1 goal scored and 2 conceded per game. That record is skewed by a 0-7 defeat away to Netherlands on 13 November, their most recent match. Before it they had gone four games unbeaten, including a 2-1 win over Serbia and a 1-0 win away to Germany. They kept two clean sheets and failed to score twice.

At home Greece have played two and drawn both, 2-2 with Netherlands and 0-0 with Germany. That is 1 goal scored and 1 conceded per game in those matches, with one clean sheet.

Serbia have lost all five, scoring 4 and conceding 11 (0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded per game). They have no clean sheets, and both teams have scored in four of the five. Away from home they have lost twice, scoring once and conceding four. Their latest game was a 1-3 home defeat to Germany on 13 November.

Greece vs Serbia team news

No absences are reported in our data for either side so far, so there are no confirmed injuries or suspensions to weigh. That can change, and you should treat the situation as open until official information arrives.

Line-ups are not yet published. They are normally confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and we will have a clearer view of how each side responds to its last result once the starting elevens are known.

No absences reported so far.

Key storylines for Greece and Serbia

For Greece, the story is damage limitation after the 0-7 loss in the Netherlands. That defeat accounts for 7 of their 10 goals conceded in the group, and it leaves them with a goal difference of -5 even though they hold second place on 8 points. Without that game they had conceded 3 in four matches.

For Serbia, the story is a winless run that has now reached five games in this competition. They have lost to Greece, Netherlands (twice) and Germany (twice), and they are the only team in the group without a point. The only thing they can change now is the final return: a first point or win would stop the campaign finishing with a clean sweep of defeats.

Where Greece vs Serbia will be decided

The main contest is Greece's home solidity against Serbia's open play. Greece have drawn both home games and conceded only once per game there, while Serbia have conceded 2 per game away and scored 0.5. If Greece protect the back line as they did against Germany, Serbia's route to goals looks narrow.

The other side of it is Greece's modest output. They have scored 1 per game at home and failed to score in two of five overall, so they have not been prolific. Serbia, though, have conceded at least two goals in four of their five matches, which gives Greece a realistic chance to improve on that figure.

Tempo may matter as well. Four of Serbia's five games and three of Greece's have gone over 2.5 goals, but Greece's two clean sheets show they can also control a match.

Greece vs Serbia head-to-head

Our data holds one meeting: Serbia 1-2 Greece in the UEFA Nations League on 24 September 2026. Greece won away from home, and the match produced 3 goals with both teams scoring.

That is a small sample and should be treated as context rather than a trend. It does confirm Greece have already beaten Serbia once in this group and did so on the road.

Greece vs Serbia prediction

Our lean is a Greece win. They are second with 8 points against none for Serbia, they have beaten this opponent already, and Serbia have lost every game while conceding 2.2 per game. Greece's home form is a note of caution, since they have drawn both games at the Panthessaliko Stadium, and the heavy defeat in the Netherlands could leave a dent in confidence.

On goals, the lean is a close call around the 2.5 line. Serbia's matches have averaged plenty of goals, but Greece score only 1 per game at home. A narrow Greece win, perhaps by one or two goals, looks the most likely shape.

What could change this is team news, which is not available yet, and how Greece recover from the 0-7 defeat. MATCH PULSE's three AI engines (GPT, Claude and Gemini) publish their independent analysis of the match before kick-off.

How to watch Greece vs Serbia

No official broadcasters are listed in our data for this match. To watch it live legally, check UEFA's official Nations League broadcast partner in your country and its official app.

The match is played on Monday 16 November 2026 at the Panthessaliko Stadium, and the kick-off time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

We have not listed this competition's broadcasters yet. Check the competition's official broadcast partner in your country and its official app.

Only official rights holders are listed; availability can change. Watching through unofficial streams is unsafe and unfair to the clubs.

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