Genoa vs Juventus prediction, team news and preview

Genoa vs Juventus: what the match decides

Genoa host Juventus at the Luigi Ferraris on Wednesday 28 October 2026 in round 9 of Serie A. The two sides sit nine places apart: Juventus are seventh with 14 points from 8 games, while Genoa are 16th with 7 points from the same number of matches. Leaders Inter have 22 points, so Juventus are still eight behind the top.

The main question is whether Juventus' superior record and head-to-head history can outweigh a long injury list. Our data shows nine Juventus players out against three for Genoa, which narrows the gap that the table suggests. Even so, Juventus have won all four of the last six meetings that were not drawn, and Genoa have not beaten them in the six games we hold.

For Genoa, a win would lift them to 10 points and a third league victory of the season, which matters for a side with a goal difference of -7. For Juventus, three points would take them to 17, still five short of Inter's current total but a firm step towards the leading group. A draw would suit neither side's ambitions particularly well, though it would be the more useful result for Genoa.

Genoa and Juventus recent form

Genoa's last five matches read LLWLW: two wins, three defeats, four goals scored and seven conceded. That is 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded per game, with one clean sheet and two games in which they failed to score. One of those five was a 0-2 friendly defeat at Rapid on 2 October, so the competitive picture is slightly kinder. In Serie A they lost 1-2 at Parma, beat Fiorentina 2-1, lost 0-2 at Roma and then won 1-0 against Venezia on 25 October.

The home record is the encouraging part. Genoa have played two home games recently and won both, scoring 3 and conceding 1, which is 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded per game, including one clean sheet. Over the full league season they have scored 6 and conceded 13 in 8 games, so the defence is the area that has cost them most.

Juventus' last five show DWLDW: two wins, two draws and one defeat, with 7 goals scored and 7 conceded, 1.4 each way per game. They kept one clean sheet, the 2-0 win at Lecce on 25 October, and failed to score once, in the 0-3 home loss to Lazio. Two of the five were Europa League fixtures, a 2-1 win at Celta Vigo and a 2-2 draw with Rennes.

Away from home Juventus look sturdier than they do in Turin. In three recent away games they won two and drew one, scoring 5 and conceding 2, which is 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Three of their five recent matches produced more than 2.5 goals, but Juventus' road games have been tighter than that overall figure suggests.

Genoa vs Juventus team news

Genoa have three players ruled out in our data: E. Havel with an ankle injury, D. Sow with a thigh injury and L. Venturino with a knee injury. No doubtful players are listed for them. Without confirmed line-ups it is hard to say how much each absence changes the starting eleven, but the squad remains broadly intact compared with their opponents.

Juventus have a far longer list, with nine players out. Z. Celik and J. Ekhator are out with muscle injuries, F. Conceicao has a shoulder injury, N. Gonzalez a calf injury and K. Yildiz a foot injury. K. Grabara, M. Locatelli and K. Thuram are all out with knee injuries, while A. Milik is listed as out with the status inactive and no injury reason given.

Those absences arrive during a crowded spell for Juventus, who have played four matches between 15 and 25 October, two of them in the Europa League. Nine unavailable players leave the coaching staff less room to rotate, so fatigue and depth are genuine questions for the visitors.

No line-ups are published in our data yet. They are normally confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and that is when any late changes will become clear.

Genoa and Juventus storylines

Genoa's story is one of a fragile start with a recent upturn at home. Five defeats in eight league games have left them 16th, and they have scored only 6 goals all season. Yet back-to-back home wins over Fiorentina and Venezia, by 2-1 and 1-0, suggest the Luigi Ferraris is where they can still collect points. Their 0-2 defeat at Roma on 17 October is a reminder of how limited their attack can look against stronger sides.

Juventus' story is about resilience under pressure. They sit seventh with 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, and their goal difference of +3 is the product of 11 scored and 8 conceded. The 0-3 home defeat to Lazio on 18 October was the heaviest blow of the recent run, and they responded with a 2-0 win at Lecce. That kind of reaction, away from home, is worth noting.

The wider picture adds some tension. Juventus are balancing Serie A with European fixtures while missing nine players, and the schedule gives little room to recover. Genoa, on the other hand, have only league football in their recent run, apart from a friendly, and are fresher by comparison. What the match can change is the narrative: a Genoa win would lift them out of the immediate worry zone of their own making, while a Juventus win would confirm that their away form can carry them through an injury crisis.

Where Genoa vs Juventus could be decided

The first area is Genoa's attack against Juventus' road defence. Genoa average 0.8 goals per game across their last five and 0.75 across the season, while Juventus have conceded only 2 in their three recent away games. If that trend holds, Genoa will need a set piece or a counter-attack to score, because open-play chances look likely to be scarce.

The second is Genoa's defence against Juventus' away attack. Genoa have conceded 13 goals in 8 league games, about 1.6 per game, and 7 in their last five. Juventus have scored 5 in three recent away games and found the net in all three. Even with several absentees, they have enough recent output to expect a goal here.

The third is tempo and freshness. Juventus' four games in 11 days, plus a thin squad, could slow their second-half intensity, which is when Genoa's home form might matter most. Genoa have a clean sheet and a win in each of their two home games in the data, so a low-scoring, tight game suits them. Juventus, by contrast, have been in matches with more than 2.5 goals three times in five, so the shape of the match will depend on which side dictates the rhythm.

Genoa vs Juventus head-to-head

The six meetings in our data come from Serie A between December 2023 and April 2026, and the pattern is clear. Juventus won four, two were drawn, and Genoa did not win any. The aggregate figures given for the series are inconsistent, so we rely on the six individual results below.

Juventus won 2-0 at home on 6 April 2026 and 1-0 at Genoa on 31 August 2025. Before that they won 1-0 at home on 29 March 2025 and 3-0 at Genoa on 28 September 2024. The draws were 0-0 in Turin on 17 March 2024 and 1-1 in Genoa on 15 December 2023.

Those games produced 9 goals, an average of 1.5 per game. Only one match, the 3-0 in 2024, had more than 2.5 goals, and only the 1-1 draw saw both teams score. Juventus kept a clean sheet in five of the six games, which is a strong argument that Genoa will find goals hard to come by again. At the Luigi Ferraris specifically, Genoa have lost twice and drawn once in these meetings.

Genoa vs Juventus prediction

Our lean is a narrow Juventus win, with a draw as the most plausible alternative. The expected shape is a cautious game in which Juventus control more of the ball, Genoa defend in numbers and look to use their home support and set pieces. A 1-0 or 2-1 result would fit that script, and Genoa's home form means a draw cannot be dismissed.

Three facts drive that view. Juventus have won or drawn all three recent away games and conceded only 2 goals in them. They have also won four of the six meetings with Genoa without losing. Against that, Genoa's defence has conceded 13 in 8, which gives Juventus a route to goals even with nine players out.

On goals, we lean towards a game with two or three goals in total, with a slight edge to under 2.5 given the head-to-head pattern and Genoa's low scoring rate. That edge is small, because Juventus have had three over-2.5 games in their last five. The main things that could change the picture are the confirmed line-ups, any further Juventus fatigue after a busy run, and an early goal that would force one side to alter its approach.

MATCH PULSE's three AI engines, GPT, Claude and Gemini, publish their independent analysis of the match before kick-off.

How to watch Genoa vs Juventus

The match is a Serie A fixture, and the official broadcasters listed in our data vary by country. In Italy the rights holders are DAZN and Sky Sport. In the United Kingdom the listed broadcasters are DAZN, TNT Sports and BBC Alba, while in Ireland they are DAZN and TNT Sports.

In the United States the listed broadcasters are Paramount+ and Telemundo, and in Canada they are fuboTV and TLN. DAZN is listed in Germany, Austria, Spain, France, Belgium, Switzerland (alongside Sky Sport), Japan and several other European markets. In Australia and New Zealand the listed broadcaster is beIN Sports.

Elsewhere, ESPN is listed across much of Latin America, including Argentina, Brazil, Mexico and Colombia, with SportyNet and CazéTV also listed in Brazil. SuperSport is listed in South Africa, Nigeria, Kenya and many other African countries, with SportyTV in some of them. StarzPlay and Shasha Sports cover much of the Middle East and North Africa. If your country is not mentioned, check the competition's official broadcast partner there and its official app.

Only official rights holders are listed; availability can change. Watching through unofficial streams is unsafe and unfair to the clubs.

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