FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction, team news and preview

FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split: what the match decides

FC Thun and HNK Hajduk Split meet in the second round of the UEFA Europa Conference League league stage on Thursday 22 October 2026 at Stockhorn Arena. The league stage has 36 teams, so every point moves a side a long way up or down the table this early.

Hajduk arrive in 10th place with three points and a goal difference of +1 from their opening win. Their position currently sits in the zone that leads to the play-offs (1/16-finals). Thun are 30th with no points and a goal difference of -1 after a 1-0 defeat. Brighton lead the table on three points.

The short answer for readers: Hajduk are the in-form side and hold the better start, but Thun are at home and the gap between them on the table is a single result.

FC Thun and Hajduk Split recent form

Thun's last five games read WWLLD, a record of two wins, one draw and two defeats. They scored 8 and conceded 8, so 1.6 goals for and against per game, with one clean sheet and one game without scoring. Three of the five games saw both teams score. Their results include a 2-4 loss at FC Zurich and a 0-1 defeat at Twente in Europe, followed by a 2-2 draw at FC Schaffhausen in the Schweizer Cup. At home they have won their one game in this run, 2-0 against SC Kriens in a friendly, a low-weight result.

Hajduk's last five read WLWWW: four wins and one defeat, with 6 goals scored (1.2 per game) and 5 conceded (1.0 per game). They kept two clean sheets and failed to score once. The run includes home wins over Dinamo Zagreb (2-1), Ajax (2-1) and NK Varazdin (1-0).

The one concern for Hajduk is the road. Their only away game in this run was a 0-3 defeat at HNK Rijeka, which means they scored nothing and conceded three. Four of their five games were at home, so this run says little about how they travel.

FC Thun vs Hajduk Split team news

No absences are reported for either side in our data so far, so we cannot name any injured, doubtful or suspended players. Treat that as an absence of information rather than confirmation of two fully fit squads.

Line-ups are not yet published. They are normally confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and this section is the first thing to check once they appear.

Both teams played at the weekend after midweek European games, Thun in the Schweizer Cup on 18 October and Hajduk in the league the same day. Rotation is possible on both sides, but no facts we hold confirm it.

No absences reported so far.

Storylines for Thun and Hajduk

For Thun, the story is a rough week. They lost at Twente on matchday one, then needed a 2-2 draw at Schaffhausen in the cup, and before that conceded four at FC Zurich. Their win at Vaduz on 20 September is the only competitive victory in the run, and a first European points haul would lift them out of the bottom group.

Hajduk have momentum. They have won four of five, beat Ajax in the same week as Thun's Twente game and sit inside the play-off zone. Their strong home form is the platform, so a first away result in the competition would show the league-stage start is more than home advantage.

The match decides whether Thun can climb from 30th and whether Hajduk can hold a top-10 position.

Where the match could be decided

The main contrast is Thun's attack against Hajduk's away record. Thun score 1.6 goals per game in the run and Hajduk concede 1.0, but the 0-3 loss at Rijeka suggests Hajduk can be exposed away. Thun have also shown they can score against stronger sides, getting two goals at Zurich and two at Schaffhausen.

The other side of the contest is Thun's defence. They have conceded 1.6 per game and kept just one clean sheet in five, so Hajduk, who scored two against both Ajax and Dinamo Zagreb, should create chances.

Both teams were involved in matches with three or more goals in three of their last five games, which points to an open game rather than a cagey one. The first goal matters: Thun's two European games so far have both ended with them failing to score, and Hajduk have won when scoring first at home.

FC Thun vs Hajduk Split head-to-head

Our data lists no previous meetings between FC Thun and HNK Hajduk Split, so there is no head-to-head record, goals-per-game average or notable result to quote. This looks like a first competitive meeting for the data we hold.

In the absence of history, recent form and the league-stage table are the better guides, and they favour Hajduk.

FC Thun vs Hajduk Split prediction

Our lean is a narrow Hajduk edge, with a draw the main alternative. The drivers are Hajduk's four wins in five, Thun's 1.6 goals conceded per game and Thun's two defeats in their last three competitive league and European games before the cup draw. Against that, Thun are at home and Hajduk's only away game in the run was a heavy defeat.

On goals, we lean towards a game with both sides scoring and three or more goals in total, given Thun's record of 8 scored and 8 conceded and Hajduk's attack finding the net in four of five. A low-scoring game is possible if Hajduk are cautious away from home.

What could change this is team news, particularly any absences or rotation after the weekend games. MATCH PULSE's three AI engines (GPT, Claude and Gemini) publish their independent analysis of the match before kick-off.

How to watch FC Thun vs Hajduk Split

No official broadcasters are listed in our data for this match. Check the UEFA Europa Conference League's official broadcast partner in your country and its official app for live coverage.

Broadcasters vary by country, so confirm the match is included in your local rights holder's schedule ahead of Thursday 22 October 2026.

We have not listed this competition's broadcasters yet. Check the competition's official broadcast partner in your country and its official app.

Only official rights holders are listed; availability can change. Watching through unofficial streams is unsafe and unfair to the clubs.

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