Bologna vs Monza prediction, team news and preview

Bologna vs Monza: what the match decides

Bologna welcome Monza to the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara on Saturday 31 October 2026 in Round 10 of Serie A. The match decides whether Bologna can build on a morale-lifting midweek result or whether Monza can drag themselves out of a poor run and close the gap on a side above them.

Bologna are 11th with 11 points from nine games: three wins, two draws and four defeats, with 12 goals scored and 12 conceded for a level goal difference. Monza are 16th with 7 points from the same number of games, having won twice, drawn once and lost six times, with 16 scored and 22 conceded for a goal difference of minus six.

Four points separate the sides in a 20-team table, and Inter lead the division on 25 points, so neither club is part of the title conversation. For both, this is about points that shape the lower half of the table. On current points, a Monza win would still leave them behind Bologna, while a home win would stretch the gap to seven.

The short answer to the question most readers are asking: our analysis leans towards Bologna, though not by a wide margin, and towards a match in which both teams score.

Bologna and Monza recent form

Bologna's last five matches read draw, win, loss, win, win. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat, with 10 goals scored (2.0 per game) and 7 conceded (1.4 per game). They kept one clean sheet, scored in every game, and both teams found the net in four of the five. Three of the five games had more than 2.5 goals.

The split between home and away is stark. In their last two home games Bologna drew 1-1 with Torino and lost 1-3 to Inter, scoring 2 and conceding 4. Away from the Dall'Ara they won at Lecce 2-1, at Cagliari 2-0 and, most recently on 28 October, at AC Milan 4-2.

Monza's last five read draw, loss, win, loss, loss, though the draw was a 2-2 friendly at Stade Brestois 29, so treat that line with some care. Across the five they scored 10 (2.0 per game) and conceded 12 (2.4 per game), with one clean sheet. Every one of the five went over 2.5 goals, and they scored in all of them.

Their away record in that sample is poor: three games, no wins, one draw (the friendly), two defeats, 5 scored and 8 conceded (1.67 scored and 2.67 conceded per game). In Serie A they lost 1-3 at Lazio and 2-3 at Torino. Their most recent game was a 1-4 home defeat to Napoli on 28 October, which followed a 4-0 home win over Cagliari.

Bologna vs Monza team news

Bologna have five players ruled out in our data. L. De Silvestri is out with a muscle injury, J. Enem with an Achilles tendon injury, E. Holm and R. Orsolini with thigh injuries, and R. Piccoli with a hamstring injury. No Bologna player is listed as doubtful.

That is a sizeable list for a side that played at AC Milan on Wednesday and now faces a three-day turnaround. Squad depth will matter, and the manager has little room for rotation if he wants to protect the legs of those who played in Milan.

Monza have four absentees. M. Folorunsho is out because of a coach's decision, Y. Maye has a muscle injury, M. Pessina a knee injury and J. Ziolkowski a foot injury. No Monza player is listed as doubtful either.

Folorunsho's absence is the one that is not injury-related, so it is worth watching whether he returns to the matchday squad. No line-ups are published yet. They are normally confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and we will not guess at the starting elevens until then.

Bologna and Monza storylines to follow

For Bologna, the big story is the win at AC Milan. Beating a Milan side 4-2 on the road is the biggest result of their recent run and came four days after a 2-0 win at Cagliari. Two away wins in four days have lifted them to 11th, yet the team has not turned that into home comfort, with one point from their last two games at the Dall'Ara.

There is also a tension in the numbers. Bologna's goal difference is level at 12 for and 12 against, which sums up a side that has been neither dominant nor collapsing. A home win over a struggling opponent is the kind of result that would separate them from the middle pack.

For Monza, the story is a run of defensive problems. They have conceded 22 goals in nine games, an average of roughly 2.4 per match, and conceded four to Napoli in midweek. Their 4-0 win over Cagliari on 19 October shows the attack can produce, but it has not been enough to prevent six league defeats.

Monza are 16th on 7 points, so every away fixture is a chance to change the shape of their season. A positive result in Bologna would be their first away league point in the stretch we can see, because their only unbeaten away game in the sample was the friendly in France.

Where Bologna vs Monza will be decided

The first battle is Monza's defence against Bologna's confidence in front of goal. Bologna have scored in each of their last five games and average 2.0 per game over that stretch, while Monza concede 2.4 per game and 2.67 on the road in the sample. If those averages hold, Bologna should create enough chances to score at least twice.

The second is Bologna's home defence against Monza's willingness to attack. Bologna have conceded four in their last two home games, and Monza have scored in every game of their last five. That is why a clean sheet for either side looks unlikely, and why our analysis points towards both teams scoring.

The third is physical. Both sides played on Wednesday, so the turnaround is equal, but Bologna's travel was to Milan and Monza's game was at home against Napoli. The bigger difference is the injury count and the mood: Bologna come in after a four-goal win away, Monza after a four-goal defeat at home.

Game state could matter a great deal. Monza's recent games have been open, with all five over 2.5 goals, so an early goal for either side would probably stretch the match rather than close it down.

Bologna vs Monza head-to-head record

The six meetings in our data favour Bologna. They won three, drew two and lost one, and the matches averaged 2.0 goals per game. Both teams scored in two of the six, and three of them went over 2.5 goals.

The most recent meeting was a 3-1 Bologna home win in Serie A on 18 January 2025. Before that, Bologna won 4-0 at home in the Coppa Italia on 3 December 2024 and 2-1 at Monza in Serie A on 22 September 2024.

Two earlier league games were goalless, a 0-0 at Bologna on 13 April 2024 and a 0-0 at Monza on 28 September 2023. Monza's only win in the set was a 1-0 victory at the Dall'Ara on 12 February 2023.

At the Dall'Ara specifically, Bologna have won two, drawn one and lost one of the four listed meetings. History therefore leans their way, but these fixtures are some time old and both squads have changed, so it should carry less weight than current form.

Bologna vs Monza prediction

Our lean is a narrow Bologna home win, in an open match in which both teams score. Bologna carry the stronger form line, with three wins in their last five and a 4-2 away win over AC Milan still fresh. Monza's last five include three defeats and a goals-against average of 2.4 per game.

Three facts drive that view. First, Monza have conceded 22 goals in nine games and 2.67 per game away in the sample. Second, Bologna have scored in all of their last five games and average 2.0. Third, the head-to-head record in our data favours Bologna, who have won three of six.

On goals, the lean is towards more than 2.5. All five of Monza's recent games passed that mark and three of Bologna's five did too. Both teams to score also looks the more likely outcome, given that Bologna have conceded four in their last two home games and Monza scored in every game of their sample.

The caution is Bologna's absentees and their poor recent home record, with no win in their last two at the Dall'Ara. A fast Monza start, or fatigue after the midweek trip to Milan, could turn this into a draw. This is a lean, not a certainty. MATCH PULSE's three AI engines, GPT, Claude and Gemini, publish their independent analysis of the match before kick-off.

How to watch Bologna vs Monza

Bologna vs Monza is a Serie A match on Saturday 31 October 2026 at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. In Italy, the official broadcasters are DAZN and Sky Sport. In the United Kingdom they are DAZN, TNT Sports and BBC Alba, and in Ireland DAZN and TNT Sports.

In Spain, France, Germany, Austria, Belgium and Japan the listed broadcaster is DAZN. Switzerland has DAZN and Sky Sport, and the Netherlands has Ziggo Sport. Poland has Eleven Sports, Portugal has Sport TV and Sweden has TV4.

In the United States the official broadcasters are Paramount+ and Telemundo, and in Canada they are fuboTV and TLN. Australia and New Zealand have beIN Sports. ESPN is listed for Argentina, Mexico, Colombia, Chile and much of Latin America, and Brazil has ESPN, SportyNet and CazéTV.

In Nigeria and South Africa, SuperSport and SportyTV are listed. In the Gulf region, StarzPlay and Shasha Sports carry the match in several countries, with STC TV also listed in Saudi Arabia. If your country is not mentioned here, check the Serie A official broadcast partner in your territory and its official app.

Only official rights holders are listed; availability can change. Watching through unofficial streams is unsafe and unfair to the clubs.

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